{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026060405",
  "record_slug": "bitcoin-jun-5-price-implied-67k-67-5k-kalshi-2026-06-04",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-04T01:30:53.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "Bitcoin Jun 5 pricing fractures below $67K-$67.5K range",
  "telemetry": "Kalshi ladder",
  "headline": "Bitcoin Jun 5 price implied $67K-$67.5K: Kalshi",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "lagging",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-9VZL96QM32",
  "target_event_slug": "kxbtcd-26jun0517",
  "event_question": "Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T67499.99",
    "question_raw": "Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?",
    "current_price": 0.39,
    "volume_24h_usd": 21275.91,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolution_source": "CF Benchmarks",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-05T21:05:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Kalshi's Jun 5 Bitcoin ladder implies a modal range of $67K-$67.5K: 51% above $67K but only 39% above $67.5K.",
    "News of Bitcoin trading near $62K-$63K is well below the Kalshi modal range, meaning the market-implied distribution is currently above realized spot.",
    "The $63K-$64K region shows 85-86% above on the ladder, suggesting the contract still assigns high probability to a recovery above recent spot by settlement.",
    "A companion Kalshi contract (CM-EVT-JCHVD3PD84) puts 51% on Bitcoin above $66K on June 6, reflecting ongoing uncertainty about whether the selloff persists through the weekend."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "coindesk.com",
          "source_url": "https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/04/bitcoin-selloff-continues-as-prices-slide-below-usd63-000-for-the-first-time-since-february",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-06-05T11:24:05+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active kalshi market"
      },
      "story": "Bitcoin sold off below $63,000 for the first time since February, with the selloff deepening amid Gulf war tensions and Strategy's BTC sale.",
      "publisher": "coindesk.com",
      "published_at": "2026-06-04T01:30:53.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/04/bitcoin-selloff-continues-as-prices-slide-below-usd63-000-for-the-first-time-since-february"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Kalshi contract resolves via observed Bitcoin spot price on June 5, 2026; settlement source and exact time-of-day snapshot methodology determine the final outcome."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "coindesk.com: Bitcoin selloff continues as prices slide below $63,000 for the first",
      "url": "https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/06/04/bitcoin-selloff-continues-as-prices-slide-below-usd63-000-for-the-first-time-since-february",
      "published_at": "2026-06-04T01:30:53.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-05T11:24:05+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/bitcoin-jun-5-price-implied-67k-67-5k-kalshi-2026-06-04/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/bitcoin-jun-5-price-implied-67k-67-5k-kalshi-2026-06-04.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}