{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026060608",
  "record_slug": "ca-governor-primary-advances-candidates-to-general-kalshi-83-2026-06-06",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-06T00:02:34.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "California governor primary advance nears full pricing",
  "telemetry": "Kalshi 83%",
  "headline": "CA governor primary advances candidates to general: Kalshi 83%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "lagging",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-3RZZ2YZCH3",
  "target_event_slug": "kxgovcaprimaryparty-26",
  "event_question": "Will California's Governor primary advance candidates from (Party) to the general election?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXGOVCAPRIMARYPARTY-26-1D1R",
    "question_raw": "Who will advance from California's top-two primary for governor?",
    "current_price": 0.83,
    "volume_24h_usd": 73656.75,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolution_source": "relevant county clerk or board of elections",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-30T14:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Kalshi prices 83% on California's governor primary advancing candidates from a given party to the general election, consistent with confirmed results.",
    "Becerra's confirmed advance to November is the news catalyst, with the market price reflecting the primary outcome already playing out.",
    "The 17% residual likely reflects edge cases around independent candidates or contested outcomes that could complicate party-advance resolution.",
    "Kalshi resolves via the relevant county clerk or board of elections official certification of primary results."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "Jeanne Kuang",
          "source_url": "https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/california-primary-governor-becerra/",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-06-06T10:00:26+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active kalshi market"
      },
      "story": "Xavier Becerra advanced to California's November governor general election following a competitive Democratic primary.",
      "publisher": "Jeanne Kuang",
      "published_at": "2026-06-06T00:02:34.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/california-primary-governor-becerra/"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Kalshi contract resolves via county clerk or board of elections; Becerra's advance aligns with the 83% pricing, though full resolution awaits official certification."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "Jeanne Kuang: Xavier Becerra advances to California's Nov. governor election",
      "url": "https://calmatters.org/politics/2026/06/california-primary-governor-becerra/",
      "published_at": "2026-06-06T00:02:34.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-06T10:00:26+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/ca-governor-primary-advances-candidates-to-general-kalshi-83-2026-06-06/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/ca-governor-primary-advances-candidates-to-general-kalshi-83-2026-06-06.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}