{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG20260815DV05",
  "record_slug": "globalfoundries-us-government-stake-k80-p85",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-08-15T08:23:11+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "U.S. stake in GlobalFoundries stays near 75% but builds higher on one venue",
  "telemetry": "Kalshi 80% vs Polymarket 85%",
  "headline": "U.S. gov stake in GlobalFoundries: Kalshi 80% vs Polymarket 85%",
  "category_tag": "CROSS_VENUE_DIVERGENCE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "cross_venue_divergence",
  "pre_news_classification": "concurrent",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-09-05",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-TDJHRGQTY1",
  "target_event_slug": "kxusacompanystake-27jan01",
  "event_question": "Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in GlobalFoundries?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXUSACOMPANYSTAKE-27JAN01-GFS",
    "question_raw": "Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in GlobalFoundries?",
    "current_price": 0.8,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 22545.38,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolves_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [
    {
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29de69eea09afcb0cde8301eca3e6fcabf826dcb8a8dafacc0d20f3404a735ff",
      "question_raw": "Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?",
      "current_price": 0.851
    }
  ],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket prices U.S. government equity stake in GlobalFoundries at 85%; Kalshi at 80%, a 5pp gap.",
    "Polymarket is the higher venue; Kalshi volume is $22.5K vs Polymarket's $6.1K, Kalshi has the larger book here.",
    "With Kalshi holding the deeper book and lower price, Polymarket's thin market may be nudging the odds upward.",
    "Resolves YES if any U.S. federal entity acquires above 0% equity in GlobalFoundries before 2027."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "cross_venue_spread",
      "provenance": "CM cross-venue link (question_id CMX-64E6FFD2DB); prices direct from venue APIs",
      "field_provenance": {
        "kalshi_price": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "kalshi_api"
        },
        "poly_price": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "polymarket_clob_api"
        },
        "divergence_pp": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "kalshi_price",
            "poly_price"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 229,
        "kalshi_vol_24h_usd": 343.2
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket cross-venue record: Will any part of the United States federal government take a",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/compare/globalfoundries-us-government-stake-y-2026",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-08-15T08:23:11+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api, polymarket_clob_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/globalfoundries-us-government-stake-k80-p85/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/globalfoundries-us-government-stake-k80-p85.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}