{
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  "record_id": "CMSIG2026090307",
  "record_slug": "gop-sc-7-house-seat-2026-polymarket-96-2026-09-03",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-09-03T00:00:00.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "GOP South Carolina 7th District seat stays heavily favored",
  "telemetry": "Polymarket 96%",
  "headline": "GOP SC-7 House seat 2026: Polymarket 96%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "concurrent",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-09-05",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-LHTPJL4HZ2",
  "target_event_slug": "sc-07-house-election-winner",
  "event_question": "Will the Republican Party win the South Carolina 7th Congressional District House seat in 2026?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xa6dcf4a15de9b25d12fe24019a64b996f6e0c1eacd39d656f4d915429a46be56",
    "question_raw": "Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat?",
    "current_price": 0.96,
    "volume_24h_usd": 0,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "The Polymarket contract on the Republican Party winning the South Carolina 7th Congressional District House seat sits at 96%, near certain.",
    "Trump's active midterm campaigning pledge is consistent with the strong Republican position in South Carolina, one of the party's safest seats.",
    "The companion contract on the Democratic candidate winning South Carolina House District 6 (CM-EVT-HYH65MMVY3) sits at just 5%, reinforcing the GOP's dominance in this state.",
    "Resolution is tied to the official 2026 general election result for the South Carolina 7th Congressional District, via Polymarket's UMA oracle."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "newsweek.com",
          "source_url": "https://www.newsweek.com/trump-vows-to-campaign-in-35-races-as-musk-pac-targets-key-seats-12398081",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-09-03T12:30:58+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active polymarket market"
      },
      "story": "Trump vowed to campaign in 35 midterm races as Elon Musk's PAC targets key House and Senate seats ahead of the 2026 midterms.",
      "publisher": "newsweek.com",
      "published_at": "2026-09-03T00:00:00.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.newsweek.com/trump-vows-to-campaign-in-35-races-as-musk-pac-targets-key-seats-12398081"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Polymarket at 96% reflects near-unanimous consensus; SC-7 is among the least contested seats across all currently priced midterm contracts in this batch."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "newsweek.com: Trump Vows to Campaign in 35 Midterm Races as Musk PAC Targets Key Sea",
      "url": "https://www.newsweek.com/trump-vows-to-campaign-in-35-races-as-musk-pac-targets-key-seats-12398081",
      "published_at": "2026-09-03T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-09-03T12:30:58+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/gop-sc-7-house-seat-2026-polymarket-96-2026-09-03/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/gop-sc-7-house-seat-2026-polymarket-96-2026-09-03.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}