{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026060302",
  "record_slug": "iran-war-powers-resolution-passed-by-congress-polymarket-4-2026-06-03",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-03T17:49:52.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "Iran war powers resolution by June 30 written off by markets",
  "telemetry": "Polymarket 4%",
  "headline": "Iran war powers resolution passed by Congress: Polymarket 4%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "lagging",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-KF5S4BY541",
  "target_event_slug": "congress-passes-iran-war-powers-resolution-by-june-30",
  "event_question": "Will Congress pass an Iran war powers resolution by June 30?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xcb3c2e94aefd13bb09a72fdf74d44fa7b2ebe437b863e0621831c020bfd4ed4d",
    "question_raw": "Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?",
    "current_price": 0.039,
    "volume_24h_usd": 1234.659639,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket contract prices only 4% on Congress passing an Iran war-powers resolution by June 30.",
    "House passage happened, but the contract likely requires Senate passage too, explaining the sharp gap between the news and the price.",
    "Senate passage remains the key hurdle; without it, the resolution is symbolic and the contract likely resolves No.",
    "Resolves via uma_oracle; resolution almost certainly requires both chambers to pass a binding measure by June 30."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "nhpr.org",
          "source_url": "https://www.nhpr.org/2026-06-03/house-passes-war-powers-resolution-directing-trump-to-end-hostilities-with-iran",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-06-04T03:24:20+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active polymarket market"
      },
      "story": "The US House passed a war-powers resolution directing Trump to end hostilities with Iran.",
      "publisher": "nhpr.org",
      "published_at": "2026-06-03T17:49:52.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.nhpr.org/2026-06-03/house-passes-war-powers-resolution-directing-trump-to-end-hostilities-with-iran"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Polymarket at 4% reflects Senate blocking risk, not House action alone."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "nhpr.org: House passes war powers resolution directing Trump to end hostilities",
      "url": "https://www.nhpr.org/2026-06-03/house-passes-war-powers-resolution-directing-trump-to-end-hostilities-with-iran",
      "published_at": "2026-06-03T17:49:52.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-04T03:24:20+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/iran-war-powers-resolution-passed-by-congress-polymarket-4-2026-06-03/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/iran-war-powers-resolution-passed-by-congress-polymarket-4-2026-06-03.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}