{
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  "record_id": "CMSIG2026062406",
  "record_slug": "progressives-sweep-dem-senate-primaries-kalshi-56-2026-06-24",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-24T00:00:00.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "Progressive Senate primary sweep consensus wavers at majority odds",
  "telemetry": "Kalshi 56%",
  "headline": "Progressives sweep Dem Senate primaries: Kalshi 56%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "concurrent",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-GTBT00NHW6",
  "target_event_slug": "kxdemprogressivesenatesweep-26nov03",
  "event_question": "Will progressives sweep the Democratic Senate primaries?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXDEMPROGRESSIVESENATESWEEP-26NOV03",
    "question_raw": "Will the listed Democratic Senate candidates all win their primary elections?",
    "current_price": 0.56,
    "volume_24h_usd": 61.6,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolution_source": "Bloomberg",
    "resolves_at": "2026-11-03T15:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Kalshi prices a progressive sweep of Democratic Senate primaries at 56%, a slim majority reflecting real uncertainty.",
    "Mamdani's slate winning New York congressional primaries is the most prominent data point in favor of a broader progressive sweep narrative.",
    "The companion contract (CM-EVT-QH62PP4D92) puts only 49% on Democrats winning all four core Senate races, showing the party's path remains contested.",
    "Resolves via Bloomberg; the sweep definition likely requires progressives to win a defined set of Senate primary contests, not just House races."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "Al Jazeera Staff",
          "source_url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/24/mamdani-backed-candidates-sweep-new-york-city-democratic-primaries",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-06-24T10:45:49+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active kalshi market"
      },
      "story": "New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's progressive slate swept Democratic congressional primaries in New York, ousting two incumbent congressmembers.",
      "publisher": "Al Jazeera Staff",
      "published_at": "2026-06-24T00:00:00.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/24/mamdani-backed-candidates-sweep-new-york-city-democratic-primaries"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Kalshi's 56% on a progressive Senate primary sweep is a thin edge, with the New York results the clearest confirming catalyst so far in the cycle."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "Al Jazeera Staff: Mamdani-backed candidates sweep New York City Democratic primaries | E",
      "url": "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/24/mamdani-backed-candidates-sweep-new-york-city-democratic-primaries",
      "published_at": "2026-06-24T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-24T10:45:49+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/progressives-sweep-dem-senate-primaries-kalshi-56-2026-06-24/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/progressives-sweep-dem-senate-primaries-kalshi-56-2026-06-24.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}