{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026060407",
  "record_slug": "putin-meets-zelenskyy-by-june-30-polymarket-1-2026-06-04",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-04T00:00:00.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "Putin-Zelenskyy direct meeting by June 30 priced near zero",
  "telemetry": "Polymarket 1%",
  "headline": "Putin meets Zelenskyy by June 30: Polymarket 1%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "lagging",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-2DR1P4YZ13",
  "target_event_slug": "will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-june-30-2026",
  "event_question": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xc5ab3fb332af0bebf7ed6df1b1d5e1cc32a91e960c57d7602a5224830cf0084b",
    "question_raw": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?",
    "current_price": 0.011,
    "volume_24h_usd": 535.846363,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket prices just 1% probability that Putin meets Zelenskyy before June 30.",
    "Putin's public rejection of Zelenskyy's open letter is consistent with the near-zero pricing on an imminent summit.",
    "The December 2026 ceasefire agreement contract at 49% shows the market treats eventual negotiation as roughly a coin flip, but not near-term.",
    "Resolves via UMA oracle; requires confirmed in-person meeting between the two leaders before the deadline."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "bbc.co.uk",
          "source_url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwy2ypyp4x4o",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-06-07T10:26:16+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active polymarket market"
      },
      "story": "Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy wrote an open letter proposing direct face-to-face talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin, who subsequently rejected the offer.",
      "publisher": "bbc.co.uk",
      "published_at": "2026-06-04T00:00:00.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwy2ypyp4x4o"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Polymarket's 1% on a June meeting versus 49% on a year-end ceasefire captures the market's view that diplomacy, if it comes, is months away."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "bbc.co.uk: Zelensky proposes face-to-face talks in open letter to Putin - BBC New",
      "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwy2ypyp4x4o",
      "published_at": "2026-06-04T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-07T10:26:16+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/putin-meets-zelenskyy-by-june-30-polymarket-1-2026-06-04/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/putin-meets-zelenskyy-by-june-30-polymarket-1-2026-06-04.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}