{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026060806",
  "record_slug": "putin-meets-zelenskyy-by-june-30-polymarket-1-2026-06-08",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-08T00:00:00.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "Putin-Zelenskyy June 30 meeting nears zero pricing",
  "telemetry": "Polymarket 1%",
  "headline": "Putin meets Zelenskyy by June 30: Polymarket 1%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "concurrent",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-2DR1P4YZ13",
  "target_event_slug": "will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-june-30-2026",
  "event_question": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xc5ab3fb332af0bebf7ed6df1b1d5e1cc32a91e960c57d7602a5224830cf0084b",
    "question_raw": "Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?",
    "current_price": 0.011,
    "volume_24h_usd": 535.846363,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket prices just 1% on Putin meeting Zelenskyy before June 30, near-zero despite E3 diplomatic backing.",
    "Western leaders' endorsement of the call for talks has not shifted prediction market pricing; markets price the meeting as essentially impossible this month.",
    "A longer-horizon ceasefire contract (CM-EVT-LVRHCH4653) sits at 49% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026, showing markets are open to a deal but not on a June timeline.",
    "Resolves via UMA oracle on a confirmed in-person bilateral meeting between the two heads of state before June 30."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "Euractiv",
          "source_url": "https://www.euractiv.com/news/uk-france-germany-back-zelenskyys-call-for-putin-meeting/",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-06-08T12:25:51+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active polymarket market"
      },
      "story": "UK, France, and Germany backed Zelenskyy's call for direct talks with Putin after a meeting in London on June 7.",
      "publisher": "Euractiv",
      "published_at": "2026-06-08T00:00:00.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://www.euractiv.com/news/uk-france-germany-back-zelenskyys-call-for-putin-meeting/"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Polymarket contract resolves via UMA oracle; the 1% near-June-30 print versus 49% end-of-year ceasefire probability reveals the market prices a longer diplomatic runway."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "Euractiv: UK, France, Germany back Zelenskyy's call for Putin meeting | Euractiv",
      "url": "https://www.euractiv.com/news/uk-france-germany-back-zelenskyys-call-for-putin-meeting/",
      "published_at": "2026-06-08T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-08T12:25:51+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/putin-meets-zelenskyy-by-june-30-polymarket-1-2026-06-08/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/putin-meets-zelenskyy-by-june-30-polymarket-1-2026-06-08.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}