{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG20260603VS03",
  "record_slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-norm-vol-222186",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-03T01:46:55+00:00",
  "headline": "Hormuz traffic normal by June 15: 14% on $222K",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-2MDYQZTGW0",
  "target_event_slug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",
  "event_question": "Will the Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by June 15?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0x46666ceb4c63814f38a8c83784ae10e1c2e1ef52e2db648372bd86dea521cf64",
    "question_raw": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?",
    "current_price": 0.14,
    "volume_24h_usd": 222186.66201099998,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 283036.49311499967,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-15T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket prices 14% chance Strait of Hormuz returns to normal shipping within 12 days.",
    "$222K in 24h, 79% of all-time volume; contract essentially born this session.",
    "Fresh market creation tied to Hormuz disruption headlines; attention precedes resolution catalyst.",
    "Resolves June 15; energy supply and tanker-rate desks have direct exposure."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "volume_anomaly",
      "provenance": "24h + cumulative volume direct from polymarket API; intensity = 24h/cumulative (derived)",
      "field_provenance": {
        "volume_24h_usd": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "polymarket_api"
        },
        "intensity": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 222186.66201099998
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will the Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by J",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-03T01:46:55+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-norm-vol-222186/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-norm-vol-222186.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}