{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026102406",
  "record_slug": "trump-putin-zelensky-trilateral-meeting-by-2027-polymarket-5-2026-10-24",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-10-24T00:00:00.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meeting before 2027 stays a long shot",
  "telemetry": "Polymarket 5%",
  "headline": "Trump-Putin-Zelensky trilateral meeting by 2027: Polymarket 5%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "concurrent",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-10-25",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-QP1YL1BSS0",
  "target_event_slug": "trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027",
  "event_question": "Will Trump, Putin, and Zelensky be seen together before 2027?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xa04dcb7b7f5a313d09e7728ca39835be4096da877ca5fbae5e3a36af239433c3",
    "question_raw": "Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?",
    "current_price": 0.05,
    "volume_24h_usd": 26.31,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket puts only 5% odds on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky being seen together before 2027.",
    "Zelensky's public readiness for an Abu Dhabi meeting is a significant diplomatic signal, yet the Polymarket contract prices the three-way summit as a remote outcome.",
    "The market appears to discount Russian participation as the binding constraint, consistent with no confirmed Kremlin acceptance reported in the story.",
    "Polymarket resolves via UMA oracle on photographic or credible media evidence of all three leaders present simultaneously; logistics alone make the bar high."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "english.news.cn",
          "source_url": "https://english.news.cn/20261024/e0b2fbf7f7324349973c6eb1bc463150/c.html",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-10-25T12:56:07+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active polymarket market"
      },
      "story": "Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine is ready to hold a trilateral meeting with the U.S. and Russia next month in Abu Dhabi.",
      "publisher": "english.news.cn",
      "published_at": "2026-10-24T00:00:00.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://english.news.cn/20261024/e0b2fbf7f7324349973c6eb1bc463150/c.html"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Polymarket holds the trilateral summit at 5% despite Zelensky's stated readiness, implying the market treats Russian agreement as the missing and unlikely variable."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "english.news.cn: Daily World Briefing, Oct. 24-Xinhua",
      "url": "https://english.news.cn/20261024/e0b2fbf7f7324349973c6eb1bc463150/c.html",
      "published_at": "2026-10-24T00:00:00.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-25T12:56:07+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/trump-putin-zelensky-trilateral-meeting-by-2027-polymarket-5-2026-10-24/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/trump-putin-zelensky-trilateral-meeting-by-2027-polymarket-5-2026-10-24.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}