{
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  "published_at": "2026-08-30T13:31:03+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Pappas NH Democratic Senate nomination stays a strong bet",
  "telemetry": "94% · $13K 24h",
  "headline": "Pappas NH Dem Senate nominee: 94% on $12.7K surge",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
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  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-09-05",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-HY8R70V952",
  "target_event_slug": "new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
  "event_question": "Will the Democratic Party winner of the New Hampshire Senate primary be determined by the 2026 primary election?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xf78be595172a9db8c6323e1927aa44b2fa2d52805d97bf4a9664593b42326534",
    "question_raw": "Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?",
    "current_price": 0.94,
    "volume_24h_usd": 12726.623945,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 47277.236447999996,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Market prices 94%, traders see Pappas as the near-certain Democratic Senate nominee in New Hampshire.",
    "24h volume of $12.7K is 27% of all-time handle, a meaningful but not exhaustive capital deployment.",
    "Fresh attention likely tied to primary filing deadlines or a rival's decision not to challenge.",
    "At 94%, residual 6% reflects tail risk of a late entrant or Pappas withdrawal before the primary."
  ],
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      "field_provenance": {
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          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
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            "volume_cumulative_usd"
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      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 12726.623945
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  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will the Democratic Party winner of the New Hampshire S",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/new-hampshire-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-08-30T13:31:03+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
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  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
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    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
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