{
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  "record_slug": "will-dem-nominee-be-graham-platner-and-g-vol-90603",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-07-07T10:52:51+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Platner nominee plus Democratic general win priced as coin-flip",
  "telemetry": "60% · $91K 24h",
  "headline": "Platner nom + Dem wins Maine Senate: 60% on $91K",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-2KYR51YTD3",
  "target_event_slug": "kxmesenoutcome-27jan",
  "event_question": "Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXMESENOUTCOME-27JAN-GPD",
    "question_raw": "Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?",
    "current_price": 0.6,
    "volume_24h_usd": 90603.85,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 258197.02,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolves_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "60% on the compound outcome, Platner as Democratic nominee AND general election win, reflects strong but conditional conviction.",
    "$90.6K in 24h, 35% of all-time, flows directly from Platner dropout contract reshaping the race narrative.",
    "Apparent tension: 91% on Platner dropout (Spike 0) yet 60% here implies either the dropout resolves the other way or the contract structure differs.",
    "Contract resolves on Platner securing the Democratic nomination and Democrats winning the general in Maine's Senate race (likely January 2027 resolution)."
  ],
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          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
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            "volume_cumulative_usd"
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        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "kalshi_vol_24h_usd": 90603.85
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxmesenoutcome-27jan",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-07-07T10:52:51+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
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    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-dem-nominee-be-graham-platner-and-g-vol-90603.json"
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  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
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