{
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  "record_id": "CMSIG20260614VS01",
  "record_slug": "will-elon-musk-buy-onlyfans-vol-656919",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-06-14T10:48:10+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Capital writes off an Elon Musk OnlyFans acquisition",
  "telemetry": "0% · $657K 24h",
  "headline": "Musk buys OnlyFans: 0% on $657K volume spike",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-GD190B3CN0",
  "target_event_slug": "will-elon-musk-buy-onlyfans",
  "event_question": "Will Elon Musk acquire OnlyFans?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0xabc61993dc1a40e91c3ae966bae63245906e92f706f98c9382ca4c33d945ccb5",
    "question_raw": "Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?",
    "current_price": 0.005,
    "volume_24h_usd": 656919.864867,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 818416.589837,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket prices Musk acquiring OnlyFans at 0%, market has fully rejected the scenario.",
    "24h volume of $657K is 80% of all-time; near-total lifecycle volume concentrated in one session.",
    "Surge likely triggered by a viral rumor or social-media catalyst that capital immediately faded.",
    "Zero price with heavy volume is a decisive crowd verdict against the claim."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "volume_anomaly",
      "provenance": "24h + cumulative volume direct from polymarket API; intensity = 24h/cumulative (derived)",
      "field_provenance": {
        "volume_24h_usd": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "polymarket_api"
        },
        "intensity": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 656919.864867
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will Elon Musk acquire OnlyFans?",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-elon-musk-buy-onlyfans",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-06-14T10:48:10+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-elon-musk-buy-onlyfans-vol-656919/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-elon-musk-buy-onlyfans-vol-656919.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}