{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG20261028VS03",
  "record_slug": "will-gadi-eizenkot-become-prime-minister-vol-79380",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-10-28T15:35:02+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Eizenkot PM odds draw fresh money at 16%",
  "telemetry": "16% · $79K 24h",
  "headline": "Eizenkot Israel PM '26: 16% on $79K surge",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-10-28",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-XQ3FKH3GZ5",
  "target_event_slug": "kxisraelpm-26oct27",
  "event_question": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXISRAELPM-26OCT27-GEIZ",
    "question_raw": "Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
    "current_price": 0.16,
    "volume_24h_usd": 79380.44,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 181271.32,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolves_at": "2027-10-27T14:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Kalshi prices Gadi Eizenkot becoming PM following the 2026 Israeli election at 16%, a long-shot alternative.",
    "44% of all-time volume arrived in the past 24h, consistent with the broader Israeli election event spike.",
    "Eizenkot contract activity tracks alongside Netanyahu and broader Israel election flow, attention is sweeping the full candidate set.",
    "Resolves on Eizenkot being named PM as a direct result of the 2026 Israeli election."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "volume_anomaly",
      "provenance": "24h + cumulative volume direct from kalshi API; intensity = 24h/cumulative (derived)",
      "field_provenance": {
        "volume_24h_usd": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "kalshi_api"
        },
        "intensity": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "kalshi_vol_24h_usd": 79380.44
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will Benjamin Netanyahu be Prime Minister of Israel aft",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxisraelpm-26oct27",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-28T15:35:02+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-gadi-eizenkot-become-prime-minister-vol-79380/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-gadi-eizenkot-become-prime-minister-vol-79380.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}