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  "published_at": "2026-07-24T10:14:05+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "OpenAI IPO by July 31 priced out at 0% on Polymarket",
  "telemetry": "0% · $65K 24h",
  "headline": "OpenAI IPO by Jul 31: 0% on $65K surge",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "status": {
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    "as_of": "2026-07-28",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-1J5WJ8DGM8",
  "target_event_slug": "openai-ipo-by",
  "event_question": "Will OpenAI have an initial public offering by 2026?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
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    "platform_market_id": "0x1146a9020af0b4dafcba97375ac13f4dcc591b80c50efa7084973df14cc85833",
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  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Market prices zero probability of an OpenAI IPO filing or listing by July 31, 2026, outcome is ruled out.",
    "Polymarket draws $65K in 24h, 36% of all-time volume, despite the 0% price, confirming rather than discovering the view.",
    "Volume at a zero price indicates a final settlement rush or late traders closing positions ahead of expiry.",
    "Resolves YES only if OpenAI completes an IPO on or before July 31, 2026."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
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      "field_provenance": {
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        },
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          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 64887.38200000001
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    }
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  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will OpenAI have an initial public offering by 2026?",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/openai-ipo-by",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-07-24T10:14:05+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
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  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
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