{
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  "record_id": "CMSIG20260811VS05",
  "record_slug": "will-peggy-flanagan-be-the-democratic-no-vol-42761",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-08-11T08:50:18+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Buyers back Flanagan for MN Democratic Senate nomination at 75%",
  "telemetry": "75% · $43K 24h",
  "headline": "Flanagan MN Dem Senate: 75% on $43K surge",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "status": {
    "state": "resolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-05",
    "outcome": "YES",
    "outcome_basis": "resolution_log",
    "final_price": 1,
    "resolved_at": "2026-08-12"
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-NNCYHQS2C4",
  "target_event_slug": "minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
  "event_question": "Will the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary be won by August 2026?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0x125d64e41a8b3225d81e84ec1fbeb58b1d8091fa9d54a9f500e01a00586baf9a",
    "question_raw": "Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?",
    "current_price": 0.75,
    "volume_24h_usd": 42761.145604,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 165385.21713199993,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Flanagan priced at 75% to win the Minnesota Democratic Senate nomination on Polymarket.",
    "$43K in 24h, 26% of all-time, marks a notable step-up in trading activity on this race.",
    "Attention likely driven by MN Senate field developments or Flanagan campaign news firming her position.",
    "Resolves YES if Flanagan is named the Democratic Senate nominee for Minnesota in 2026."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "volume_anomaly",
      "provenance": "24h + cumulative volume direct from polymarket API; intensity = 24h/cumulative (derived)",
      "field_provenance": {
        "volume_24h_usd": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "polymarket_api"
        },
        "intensity": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 42761.145604
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will the Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary be won by ",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/minnesota-democratic-senate-primary-winner",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-08-11T08:50:18+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-peggy-flanagan-be-the-democratic-no-vol-42761/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-peggy-flanagan-be-the-democratic-no-vol-42761.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}