{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG20260805VS07",
  "record_slug": "will-todd-blanche-leaves-deputy-attorney-vol-62382",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-08-05T10:31:36+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Fresh volume backs Blanche leaving DAG role before 2027",
  "telemetry": "92% · $62K 24h",
  "headline": "Blanche exits DAG before 2027: 92% on $62K",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "status": {
    "state": "resolved",
    "as_of": "2026-09-05",
    "outcome": "YES",
    "outcome_basis": "resolution_log",
    "final_price": 1,
    "resolved_at": "2026-08-10"
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-Z5Z4K6WBZ9",
  "target_event_slug": "kxtrumpadminleave-26dec31",
  "event_question": "Will someone leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31-TBLA",
    "question_raw": "Will Todd Blanche leaves Deputy Attorney General in before 2027?",
    "current_price": 0.921,
    "volume_24h_usd": 62382.9,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 226450.58,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolves_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Kalshi prices a Blanche departure before 2027 at 92%, market leans heavily toward an exit.",
    "28% of all-time volume in 24h; this contract has a longer history, making today's spike notable.",
    "Renewed activity may reflect reporting on DOJ staffing, Senate confirmation of a successor, or direct news.",
    "Resolves if Blanche vacates the Deputy Attorney General role before January 1, 2027."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "volume_anomaly",
      "provenance": "24h + cumulative volume direct from kalshi API; intensity = 24h/cumulative (derived)",
      "field_provenance": {
        "volume_24h_usd": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "kalshi_api"
        },
        "intensity": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "kalshi_vol_24h_usd": 62382.9
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will someone leave their role in the Trump administrati",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/kxtrumpadminleave-26dec31",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-08-05T10:31:36+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-todd-blanche-leaves-deputy-attorney-vol-62382/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-todd-blanche-leaves-deputy-attorney-vol-62382.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}