{
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  "record_id": "CMSIG20261025VS01",
  "record_slug": "will-together-win-the-most-seats-in-the-vol-132797",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-10-25T07:48:52+00:00",
  "semantic_title": "Together party stays a heavy underdog despite fresh Israeli election volume",
  "telemetry": "1% · $133K 24h",
  "headline": "Together wins most Knesset seats: 1% on $132K",
  "category_tag": "VOLUME_SPIKE",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "volume_spike",
  "pre_news_classification": "pre_news",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-10-25",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-SV1SCXFSY0",
  "target_event_slug": "israeli-legislative-election-winner",
  "event_question": "Will the Israeli legislative election result in a clear winner by the next scheduled election date?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "polymarket",
    "platform_market_id": "0x4e9cff8a3aeac036225fedcc98af9b0d55284b3f430b599e7f61b059c1e177af",
    "question_raw": "Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?",
    "current_price": 0.014,
    "volume_24h_usd": 132797.819267,
    "volume_cumulative_usd": 495694.68614899996,
    "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
    "resolves_at": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Polymarket holds Together's odds at 1%, near-zero probability of topping the 2026 Israeli legislative seat count.",
    "24h volume of $132K represents 27% of all-time handle, indicating a notable but not dominant attention spike.",
    "Fresh volume may reflect positioning ahead of polling updates or coalition realignment news in Israeli political coverage.",
    "Contract resolves on official Knesset seat tallies from the 2026 Israeli legislative election."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "volume_anomaly",
      "provenance": "24h + cumulative volume direct from polymarket API; intensity = 24h/cumulative (derived)",
      "field_provenance": {
        "volume_24h_usd": {
          "tier": "direct",
          "method": "polymarket_api"
        },
        "intensity": {
          "tier": "derived",
          "method": "arithmetic",
          "inputs": [
            "volume_24h_usd",
            "volume_cumulative_usd"
          ]
        }
      },
      "liquidity_context": {
        "poly_vol_24h_usd": 132797.819267
      }
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "ClearMarket market record: Will the Israeli legislative election result in a clear",
      "url": "https://clearmarket.fyi/events/israeli-legislative-election-winner",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-10-25T07:48:52+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "polymarket_api",
    "news_context": "retrieval_grounded",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-together-win-the-most-seats-in-the-vol-132797/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/will-together-win-the-most-seats-in-the-vol-132797.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
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  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}