Will a searched athlete on Google be identified by 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (149D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 82 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alysa Liu | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | $5.3K | $7.2K | A | 0x2667db…8ef9 | ||
| Lamine Yamal | 2026-12-31 | 8.5% | $634 | $674 | A | 0x95cf62…01d8 | ||
| Lionel Messi | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | $285 | $8.8K | A | 0x8c6370…d258 | ||
| Jalen Brunson | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $111 | $395 | A | 0x24605d…2ab7 | ||
| Victor Wembanyama | 2026-12-31 | 2.0% | — | $2.3K | A | 0xb42103…73a4 | ||
| Rodri | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | $150 | $11K | A | 0xbae4af…6528 | ||
| Kenneth Walker III | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x8ed9fe…48b1 | ||
| Travis Kelce | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xf8c620…0ba8 | ||
| LeBron James | 2026-12-31 | — | $43 | $81 | A | 0x58d715…cf57 | ||
| Ilia Malinin | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x7d6634…b1a8 | ||
| Pau Cubarsí | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xc6b826…887d | ||
| Kylian Mbappé | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xfb2bcc…552a | ||
| Jon Jones | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x652608…7a87 | ||
| Conor McGregor | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x4bc242…6c08 | ||
| Max Holloway | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x90da22…2f00 | ||
| Ilia Topuria | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x98e0ce…5ca9 | ||
| Chloe Kim | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x3c3cb2…cb4e | ||
| Shedeur Sanders | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xb03360…4fdd | ||
| Deshaun Watson | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xc9a4b4…32f2 | ||
| Caitlin Clark | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x1acd32…d188 | ||
| Jannik Sinner | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x4d3ac6…b165 | ||
| Carlos Alcaraz | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xd5bbcf…3ca4 | ||
| Alexander Zverev | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xd0d113…0d6e | ||
| Rory McIlroy | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x7d6df2…ca9d | ||
| Maikel García | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x62e76c…c89f | ||
| Sam Darnold | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xa9e856…b860 | ||
| Drake Maye | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x5e694d…db4c | ||
| Christian Pulisic | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xa111af…9959 | ||
| Folarin Balogun | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x047ec9…f45b | ||
| Cooper Flagg | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x167fea…9e13 | ||
| Jake Paul | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xfc7c47…df07 | ||
| Anthony Joshua | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x909237…5d6e | ||
| Tyson Fury | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x56452b…043a | ||
| Arch Manning | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x9f6997…566c | ||
| Athlete 1 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xac2028…2ab8 | ||
| Athlete 2 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa509cd…5930 | ||
| Athlete 3 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb5a370…f965 | ||
| Athlete 4 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x68f80a…d504 | ||
| Athlete 5 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x13f536…1f20 | ||
| Athlete 6 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7bcab1…c8ec | ||
| Athlete 7 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4b45ac…7186 | ||
| Athlete 8 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xe52687…046b | ||
| Athlete 9 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x3b73e3…9c77 | ||
| Athlete 10 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xe57aae…184c | ||
| Athlete 11 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x776343…a6f3 | ||
| Athlete 12 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x2f2a31…7f3d | ||
| Athlete 13 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x1c99dc…31ea | ||
| Athlete 14 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x929c81…926b | ||
| Athlete 15 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa09bb4…213e | ||
| Athlete 16 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xdb1520…e19a | ||
| Athlete 17 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x87451a…99e2 | ||
| Athlete 18 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xaa57e3…5477 | ||
| Athlete 19 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x95c120…ee78 | ||
| Athlete 20 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7431bd…f8df | ||
| Athlete 21 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x0a153a…24e3 | ||
| Athlete 22 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x16f74f…b6fc | ||
| Athlete 23 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc2ddd0…5a09 | ||
| Athlete 24 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xcf760b…c2c0 | ||
| Athlete 25 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x0849e2…49da | ||
| Athlete 26 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7e5050…fedd | ||
| Athlete 27 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7b81ec…e64a | ||
| Athlete 28 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xf5a487…3b1c | ||
| Athlete 29 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xbdea94…ea4e | ||
| Athlete 30 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x174f57…0d6b | ||
| Athlete 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x6e79c9…406e | ||
| Athlete 32 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4a2906…afbc | ||
| Athlete 33 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x1f5f23…e150 | ||
| Athlete 34 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xad792d…0de7 | ||
| Athlete 35 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5ac0f2…2992 | ||
| Athlete 36 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xf0b983…88a5 | ||
| Athlete 37 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb7262a…e71f | ||
| Athlete 38 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x52532a…b2ef | ||
| Athlete 39 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa9289e…62ff | ||
| Athlete 40 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xf29dae…072f | ||
| Athlete 41 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5870ee…b3ee | ||
| Athlete 42 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x1c988a…f35b | ||
| Athlete 43 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x41a754…557a | ||
| Athlete 44 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xcdbca1…c077 | ||
| Athlete 45 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc3ece7…e0c0 | ||
| Athlete 46 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xbe39f2…2aee | ||
| Athlete 47 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4701f3…3a36 | ||
| Someone else | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc12704…3faf |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Athletes” list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Sports → Athletes. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
platform source field
polymarket.description → trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ sources (2) · single authority
- trends.withgoogle.com source of record venue-listed
- trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/1-searched-athlete-on-google-2026-20260730195733/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/1-searched-athlete-on-google-2026-20260730195733 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("1-searched-athlete-on-google-2026-20260730195733") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-2789S1P2Q6",
"slug": "1-searched-athlete-on-google-2026-20260730195733",
"question": "Will a searched athlete on Google be identified by 2026?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"tech",
"sports",
"pop-culture",
"search-trends",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 82,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 30315,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 87,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "trends.withgoogle.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "trends.withgoogle.com",
"url": "trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}