Will there be a most-searched person on Google in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 93 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Bunny | 2026-12-31 | 13.0% | $1.1K | $12K | A | 0x364c2f…be8c | ||
| Erling Haaland | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | $11K | $16K | A | 0xcd4621…d1e8 | ||
| Donald Trump | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | $742 | $8.8K | A | 0x1ea2b1…722f | ||
| Lamine Yamal | 2026-12-31 | 8.1% | $12 | $1.5K | A | 0x095b13…fa54 | ||
| Alysa Liu | 2026-12-31 | 6.5% | — | $1.4K | A | 0xc3b104…134a | ||
| Shohei Ohtani | 2026-12-31 | 5.0% | $20 | $320 | A | 0x7dd696…a118 | ||
| Luka Dončić | 2026-12-31 | 4.7% | $21 | $321 | A | 0xe63915…4e04 | ||
| Elon Musk | 2026-12-31 | 3.0% | — | $1.7K | A | 0x9301d0…935e | ||
| Jude Bellingham | 2026-12-31 | 2.0% | — | $348 | A | 0x9cdd0a…1282 | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $413 | A | 0x811573…b647 | ||
| Patrick Mahomes | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $410 | A | 0x826858…b698 | ||
| Scottie Scheffler | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $410 | A | 0x7d66ed…513c | ||
| Ja Morant | 2026-12-31 | 1.0% | — | $410 | A | 0xbecf2f…d0d8 | ||
| Lionel Messi | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $921 | A | 0x267cef…b905 | ||
| Kylian Mbappé | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $681 | A | 0x7ab48a…cdcf | ||
| Sydney Sweeney | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $601 | A | 0x031016…2e66 | ||
| Sabrina Carpenter | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0x2af8bb…ede3 | ||
| LeBron James | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0x119f31…8cdd | ||
| Josh Allen | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0xa47b74…95aa | ||
| Timothée Chalamet | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $730 | A | 0x3abb46…45e1 | ||
| Chappell Roan | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0xf25525…5fc0 | ||
| Scarlett Johansson | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0xa5a39a…82db | ||
| Stefon Diggs | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0x66831d…bcbc | ||
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | — | $300 | A | 0x366e5b…ac2c | ||
| Matt Damon | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $300 | A | 0x7fa574…3b8f | ||
| Robert Downey Jr. | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $300 | A | 0x1cc9e5…8561 | ||
| Kanye West | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $301 | A | 0x197400…1b06 | ||
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $901 | A | 0x43d06b…3bbb | ||
| Neymar | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $300 | A | 0xd922da…e7af | ||
| Christian Pulisic | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $300 | A | 0xa66a59…e8c2 | ||
| Vladimir Putin | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $901 | A | 0xc08317…07ba | ||
| Billie Eilish | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $901 | A | 0x552ba7…bd22 | ||
| Pedro Pascal | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $601 | A | 0xef313f…e662 | ||
| Caitlin Clark | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $601 | A | 0xc97497…e8af | ||
| Jacob Elordi | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $601 | A | 0xfcf37b…eafa | ||
| Ariana Grande | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $601 | A | 0xac4478…a4cc | ||
| Joe Burrow | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $601 | A | 0x6f203b…5b86 | ||
| Angel Reese | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $601 | A | 0xcebc35…78b7 | ||
| Anthony Edwards | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $300 | A | 0xeda910…1144 | ||
| Jake Paul | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $901 | A | 0xc83a74…2674 | ||
| Zendaya | 2026-12-31 | 0.2% | — | $901 | A | 0xeab192…464c | ||
| Taylor Swift | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x784f42…6318 | ||
| Travis Kelce | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0xc37396…83d9 | ||
| JD Vance | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x3d9f2a…fbcc | ||
| Nicolás Maduro | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | A | 0x809342…466e | ||
| Person 1 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x435003…5b03 | ||
| Person 2 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xaf1a86…72a8 | ||
| Person 3 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x0c7809…a507 | ||
| Person 4 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x58c367…ba0c | ||
| Person 5 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x79047b…fcec | ||
| Person 6 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x2602fb…00ea | ||
| Person 7 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x2f2c64…cd1f | ||
| Person 8 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5ef36b…9be9 | ||
| Person 9 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc5b808…4f87 | ||
| Person 10 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x90b512…3e1c | ||
| Person 11 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x70f4cb…74fd | ||
| Person 12 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x28d192…ef20 | ||
| Person 13 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xf5c42f…036e | ||
| Person 14 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa90687…3269 | ||
| Person 15 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4250c0…4d76 | ||
| Person 16 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5e44ea…3269 | ||
| Person 17 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x308da7…2925 | ||
| Person 18 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xbec200…5a66 | ||
| Person 19 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa80604…c8b7 | ||
| Person 20 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xfcff24…64b8 | ||
| Person 21 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x48f529…25c8 | ||
| Person 22 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x666d23…46d6 | ||
| Person 23 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x3206f8…a12f | ||
| Person 24 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x0b4f74…76fc | ||
| Person 25 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8d6ea5…a5d6 | ||
| Person 26 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xfba169…08aa | ||
| Person 27 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xf17fd4…ac5d | ||
| Person 28 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x215b8d…7ddb | ||
| Person 29 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x29102f…df79 | ||
| Person 30 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x26331a…e98b | ||
| Person 31 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xdd3c55…f039 | ||
| Person 32 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa5762e…2708 | ||
| Person 33 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x892c80…ce68 | ||
| Person 34 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5b8be0…7ba8 | ||
| Person 35 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x39bb91…98b8 | ||
| Person 36 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x353a63…a9d7 | ||
| Person 37 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x3b526f…64e9 | ||
| Person 38 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x795612…b65a | ||
| Person 39 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xea8c95…417d | ||
| Person 40 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xdd6a23…cea1 | ||
| Person 41 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x070c9d…2332 | ||
| Person 42 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc1fb36…5cae | ||
| Person 43 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xe54490…71ea | ||
| Person 44 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x2fcd3e…2359 | ||
| Person 45 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x06557e…82f9 | ||
| Person 46 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4c607a…e707 | ||
| Person 47 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8416c6…70aa | ||
| Someone else | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xab53b0…d4ff |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026.
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
platform source field
polymarket.description → trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ sources (4) · single authority
- trends.withgoogle.com source of record venue-listed
- trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ from rules text · editorial
- Google Trends Year in Search hub from rules text · editorial
- Google from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/1-searched-person-on-google-this-year-20260717214320563/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/1-searched-person-on-google-this-year-20260717214320563 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("1-searched-person-on-google-this-year-20260717214320563") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-TQ9WDYJHQ7",
"slug": "1-searched-person-on-google-this-year-20260717214320563",
"question": "Will there be a most-searched person on Google in 2026?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"tech",
"pop-culture",
"google-search",
"celebrity-ranking",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 93,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 58819,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 87,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "trends.withgoogle.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "trends.withgoogle.com",
"url": "trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Google Trends Year in Search hub",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Google",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}