CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election? [ resolves 2026-09-14 (53D) ]

polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 51 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026… 2026-09-14 76.0%
$181 $21K
B 0x9e6331…d65a
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 20.0%
$131 $3.4K
B 0x003fcd…e082
Will Datu Sa Kabanalan (Matampay) sa Magindanaw Royal Descendants Association… 2026-09-14 5.0%
$16 $245
B 0xe77e2f…b15d
Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 4.3%
$16 $328
B 0xb23534…63ba
Will Royal Sultanate of Eastern Unayan (RSEU) win the most seats in the 2026… 2026-09-14 2.0%
$16 $240
B 0xb9a71d…e554
Will Mahardika Party (MAHARDIKA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 1.0%
$16 $256
B 0xbc028f…c9cb
Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Marawi (ROHOSUMA) win the most seats… 2026-09-14 1.0%
$16 $266
B 0xdbfcee…ee74
Will The Royal House of the Sultanate of Pagayawan (ROHOSUPA) win the most… 2026-09-14 1.0%
$16 $239
B 0x0a6e25…2206
Will Bangsamoro Party (BAPA) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $260
B 0xcd02eb…f353
Will Bangsamoro Empowerment and Social Transformation Party (BEST PARTY) win… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $201
B 0xb415f8…7e80
Will Partido Bangon Bangsamoro (PBB) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $193
B 0xfb3fa4…81de
Will Progresibong Bangsamoro Party (PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY) win the most seats in… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $185
B 0xbcb8fe…5a77
Will Bangsamoro Peoples’ Democratic Party (RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY) win the… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $211
B 0xce4d3a…fad3
Will Royal Sultanate of Langkong (RSL) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $201
B 0x4370e6…ef5d
Will Iranun Sultanate’s League of the Philippines, Inc. (ISLPI) win the most… 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $211
B 0xbcee2e…5d2f
Will the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Election not take place by September 14, 2026 2026-09-14 0.2%
$16 $205
B 0x9fccb6…36f0
Will Alliance of Bangsamoro Tri-People’s Party (ABOT) win the most seats in the… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $194
B 0x6ddada…91a8
Will Indigenous, Settlers, Sama and Minorities Alliance Party (ISAMA) win the… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $194
B 0xdb8f81…0b6c
Will Moro Ako Party (MORO AKO) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $194
B 0x9706be…9b44
Will People’s Consultative (Mushawara) Party (MUSHAWARA) win the most seats in… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $214
B 0x7da0c1…a7ab
Will Christians Settler for Peace (C4P) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $211
B 0x4c880f…6b16
Will Tawi-Tawi Provincial Women’s Council Inc. (TPWC) win the most seats in the… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$16 $238
B 0x969c59…285d
Will League of Bangsamoro Islamic Advocate Associate (LBIAA) win the most seats… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $211
B 0xc71df0…098b
Will Dungon Traditional Leaders Organization (DTLO) win the most seats in the… 2026-09-14 0.1%
$26 $194
B 0x05bedc…116a
Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xbf5e17…db7e
Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x1f7577…bd69
Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xe732f0…de60
Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xd6aaa1…e31a
Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x9eb31d…177c
Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xe558ba…dbfd
Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x0bbd34…ce50
Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x84307f…5f98
Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xc22f08…e146
Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x418dbd…52f3
Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x4ccaf3…ef13
Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x6f92b6…21ea
Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xbcca13…cd7a
Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xbace96…4e33
Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x79adca…9550
Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x6c8464…1998
Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xbe73ec…8a88
Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xe589a7…4b0c
Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x5c84ee…ce8e
Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x620167…e54a
Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0xc9e043…279c
Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x42909d…651b
Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x16a39c…074a
Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x11d4e7…449c
Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x6d2e7c…f895
Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x9d2451…4a7d
Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections 2026-09-14 0.0%
B 0x8a484d…f14f
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 51 markets · share this text
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned
sources (3) · stated precedence rule
  • comelec.gov.ph venue-listed
  • Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) source of record from rules text · editorial
  • https://www.comelec.gov.ph/ from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/2026-bangsamoro-parliament-election-party-winner-20260715164930563/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/2026-bangsamoro-parliament-election-party-winner-20260715164930563
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("2026-bangsamoro-parliament-election-party-winner-20260715164930563")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-98LRC9DN22",
  "slug": "2026-bangsamoro-parliament-election-party-winner-20260715164930563",
  "question": "Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "philippines",
    "party-performance",
    "2026",
    "barmm"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 51,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 29814,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 68,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.comelec.gov.ph/",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC)",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "comelec.gov.ph",
      "url": "https://www.comelec.gov.ph/",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC)",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.comelec.gov.ph/",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →