Will a specific candidate win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (103D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 29 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Samaniego | 2026-11-03 | 85.0% | — | $8.3K | C | 0xe8912d…af40 | ||
| Minerva Torres Shelton | 2026-11-03 | 4.0% | — | $4.5K | C | 0xe44496…2687 | ||
| Person A | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa48017…6348 | ||
| Person B | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa936a8…0e19 | ||
| Person C | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe0e0f9…0740 | ||
| Person D | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf9578c…04fb | ||
| Person E | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2ae20f…464a | ||
| Person F | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa6d1e5…7dba | ||
| Person G | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3eae8b…d88b | ||
| Person H | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x04eb6b…98f7 | ||
| Person I | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x13d296…0fc2 | ||
| Person J | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3dbdbe…b33f | ||
| Person K | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xedda52…ea50 | ||
| Person L | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa0d9c9…a1de | ||
| Person M | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa5aac9…0ad4 | ||
| Person N | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd2f597…cf92 | ||
| Person O | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4c1da5…82d6 | ||
| Person P | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3960b6…c239 | ||
| Person Q | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53ccaf…55a5 | ||
| Person R | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x408c05…1148 | ||
| Person S | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x19ec3f…fe9c | ||
| Person T | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x638d4d…90af | ||
| Person U | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdd046f…a381 | ||
| Person V | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x511875…43ae | ||
| Person W | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7c6e18…8923 | ||
| Person X | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5e74b3…4694 | ||
| Person Y | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x288a0c…9cc8 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x643eae…0f87 | ||
| Someone else | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5e7c73…21bb |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The 2026 El Paso County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of El Paso County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of El Paso County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
- official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/2026-el-paso-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004500794/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/2026-el-paso-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004500794 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("2026-el-paso-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004500794") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-61891PRXG1",
"slug": "2026-el-paso-county-judge-election-winner-20260626004500794",
"question": "Will a specific candidate win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"2026",
"el-paso-county",
"local-office",
"texas"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12801,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from the State of Texas and El Paso County",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}