Will Andrew Tate be extradited to the UK by September 30? [ resolves 2026-09-30 (69D) ]
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30 | 2026-09-30 | 17.0% | $8.4K | $45K | C | 0x989fef…5cd0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrew Tate is extradited to the United Kingdom between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Extradited to the United Kingdom” means Tate is physically transferred to U.K. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Tate otherwise enters U.K. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.K. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify.
An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Tate is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.K. government custody by the market’s end date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/andrew-tate-extradited-to-uk-by-sep-30-20260719022813213/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/andrew-tate-extradited-to-uk-by-sep-30-20260719022813213 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("andrew-tate-extradited-to-uk-by-sep-30-20260719022813213") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-X38XZM48F1",
"slug": "andrew-tate-extradited-to-uk-by-sep-30-20260719022813213",
"question": "Will Andrew Tate be extradited to the UK by September 30?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"legal-extradition",
"andrew-tate",
"uk-courts",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45147,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}