Will Andy Burnham become an MP by June 30? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $177 | $59K | C | 0x36c602…546e |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official information from Andy Burnham from rules text · editorial
- the government of the United Kingdom from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (1 resolved market). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-28S04HXWY7",
"slug": "andy-burnham-becomes-an-mp-by-june-30",
"question": "Will Andy Burnham become an MP by June 30?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"uk-politics",
"andy-burnham",
"2026",
"parliamentary-seats"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 58726,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 74,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from Andy Burnham",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "the government of the United Kingdom",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}