Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? [ resolves 2027-10-24 (508D) ]
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
polymarket: [B] multiple sources, tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 64 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 47.0% | $951 | $45K | B | 0x338f6f…fd3b | ||
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 44.0% | $1.0K | $11K | B | 0xf35a56…6bde | ||
| Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 5.2% | $559 | $7.9K | B | 0x22f055…79cb | ||
| Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 3.8% | $580 | $9.0K | B | 0x9e7ff9…3d11 | ||
| Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 1.4% | $558 | $6.6K | B | 0x68aea8…0532 | ||
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 1.3% | $697 | $7.7K | B | 0x988f13…14ab | ||
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.7% | $1.4K | $7.6K | B | 0xea83e5…3a7f | ||
| Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.3% | $547 | $6.0K | B | 0x8f5585…e534 | ||
| Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.3% | $561 | $6.3K | B | 0xa1114c…3da3 | ||
| Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.2% | $615 | $6.0K | B | 0xb93645…9f7b | ||
| Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.1% | $2.2K | $6.5K | B | 0xfe7c59…34a9 | ||
| Will Person B win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x8d5571…d919 | ||
| Will Person D win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xef0f7b…8c1d | ||
| Will Person F win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf8be17…2111 | ||
| Will Person H win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x983cb3…0e9f | ||
| Will Person J win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5dabb6…86b6 | ||
| Will Person L win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb94cac…4846 | ||
| Will Person N win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3e9aed…0af4 | ||
| Will Person P win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xc3d340…b31a | ||
| Will Person R win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x777787…e3e4 | ||
| Will Person T win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xa7157b…2b9e | ||
| Will Person V win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x2d09cc…f351 | ||
| Will Person X win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x34814a…7859 | ||
| Will Person Z win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3942fb…dd4c | ||
| Will Person AB win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x042265…bdd7 | ||
| Will Person AD win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xbdbb23…048c | ||
| Will Person AF win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x96ecdc…919b | ||
| Will Person AH win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xeb4139…a5b0 | ||
| Will Person AJ win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x81bfc1…4ac1 | ||
| Will Person AL win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xec0e4b…bee6 | ||
| Will Person AN win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x56cad5…1e33 | ||
| Will Person AP win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0b5825…0e44 | ||
| Will Person AR win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x4c77b9…cd8e | ||
| Will Person AT win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x457d97…d214 | ||
| Will Person AV win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x43d6d2…7a51 | ||
| Will Person AX win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x2f8ba2…0b43 | ||
| Will Person AZ win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x9706c1…55c2 | ||
| Will Person A win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfdba3e…701a | ||
| Will Person C win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x23e9e2…24fd | ||
| Will Person E win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x4ea276…c925 | ||
| Will Person G win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf8676c…6c5d | ||
| Will Person I win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xba0237…f1a9 | ||
| Will Person K win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x822b9c…e7c6 | ||
| Will Person M win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x14bd74…6a96 | ||
| Will Person O win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xaf30b9…7989 | ||
| Will Person Q win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb43318…5820 | ||
| Will Person S win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xc91ac3…bacb | ||
| Will Person U win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5732a9…d0be | ||
| Will Person W win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x9112ee…5ccc | ||
| Will Person Y win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb0b3e8…fcd9 | ||
| Will Person AA win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x7a6097…03c2 | ||
| Will Person AC win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x02cb90…a5a3 | ||
| Will Person AE win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb13cb6…0592 | ||
| Will Person AG win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x121548…752c | ||
| Will Person AI win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x40bb8b…4ad4 | ||
| Will Person AK win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb7d7fd…3a7c | ||
| Will Person AM win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3c23f3…066e | ||
| Will Person AO win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3591c3…c645 | ||
| Will Person AQ win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x9d27f1…2924 | ||
| Will Person AS win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3e8910…52eb | ||
| Will Person AU win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf39fa1…c642 | ||
| Will Person AW win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6da6b9…0c3f | ||
| Will Person AY win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5535bb…b30a | ||
| Will someone else win the 2027 Argentina presidential election | 2027-10-24 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xaffebc…60c7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | electoral.gob.ar | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/argentina-presidential-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/argentina-presidential-election-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("argentina-presidential-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-6Y6JDSVW06",
"slug": "argentina-presidential-election-winner",
"question": "Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"argentina",
"2027",
"executive-election",
"latin-america"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 64,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 119065,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 60,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "electoral.gob.ar",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}