Will the Republican Party of Armenia win the most seats in the Armenian parliamentary election? [ resolved 2026-06-07 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civil Contract | 2026-06-07 | 100.0% | $17K | $130K | C | 0xc18b1b…ff1c | ||
| Armenian National Congress | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | $25K | C | 0x08897a…8a17 | ||
| Prosperous Armenia | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | $4.5K | $36K | C | 0xc1e6e7…74b4 | ||
| Strong Armenia | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | $2.5K | $33K | C | 0x5847ca…5d60 | ||
| Armenia Alliance | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | $2.1K | $90K | C | 0xca8313…32b0 | ||
| Bright Armenia | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | $23K | C | 0xf5b525…47b7 | ||
| I Have Honor Alliance | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | $18K | C | 0x28a544…6225 | ||
| Hanrapetutyun Party | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | $20K | C | 0x11aca5…0a8f | ||
| Heritage | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | $21K | C | 0x39d907…6b25 | ||
| Orinats Yerkir | 2026-06-07 | 0.0% | — | $23K | C | 0x6f3c86…28de |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 100% |
| NO | Will Armenian National Congress win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bright Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will I Have Honor Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Hanrapetutyun Party win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
| NO | Will Orinats Yerkir win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | polymarket | 2026-06-07 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (10 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/armenia-parliamentary-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/armenia-parliamentary-election-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("armenia-parliamentary-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-KT7FV8NBR9",
"slug": "armenia-parliamentary-election-winner",
"question": "Will the Republican Party of Armenia win the most seats in the Armenian parliamentary election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"armenia",
"parliamentary",
"2026",
"government-formation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 419138,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 43,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.elections.am/",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}