Will the Bank of England make a decision in June? [ resolves 2026-06-18 (15D) ]

polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by strike

polymarket 5 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
≤ -50	2026-06-18	0.2%	—	$55K	B	`0x4057e6…9f4e`
≤ -25	2026-06-18	1.0%	$10	$53K	B	`0x077bef…5b23`
0	2026-06-18	97.5%	$363	$52K	B	`0x817d4b…1ac0`
≥ 25	2026-06-18	2.5%	—	$64K	B	`0x5d67e8…eb74`
≥ 50	2026-06-18	0.2%	—	$38K	B	`0x268e10…f554`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 5 markets · share this text

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-england-decision-in-june-221/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-england-decision-in-june-221.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-england-decision-in-june-221")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GH92PND4S1",
  "slug": "bank-of-england-decision-in-june-221",
  "question": "Will the Bank of England make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "economic-policy",
    "bank-of-england",
    "interest-rates",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 5,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 262497,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_illustrative"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →