CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,860 EVENTS / ~39,200 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Bank of Israel make a decision in September? [ resolves 2026-09-01 (28D) ]

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Make no change to 2026-09-01 72.0%
$12 $17K
A 0x675fe8…eac1
Decrease 2026-09-01 16.0%
$11K
A 0x0ef882…5373
Increase 2026-09-01 6.0%
$2.5K
A 0x0c2a3b…4afa
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the change in the Bank of Israel Interest Rate resulting from the Bank of Israel’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
sources (3) · single authority
  • boi.org.il venue-listed
  • Bank of Israel source of record from rules text · editorial
  • https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/# from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-israel-decision-in-september-20260710022159182/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-israel-decision-in-september-20260710022159182
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-israel-decision-in-september-20260710022159182")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-XFP3PJ5FS4",
  "slug": "bank-of-israel-decision-in-september-20260710022159182",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Israel make a decision in September?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "bank-of-israel",
    "interest-rates",
    "monetary-policy",
    "economy",
    "israel"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 30863,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 93,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Bank of Israel",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "boi.org.il",
      "url": "https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bank of Israel",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →