CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Bank of Korea make a decision in July? [ resolves 2026-07-16 (43D) ]

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting 2026-07-16 75.0%
$215 $6.3K
A 0x4961d7…6e5a
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting 2026-07-16 27.0%
$198 $6.0K
A 0x532bc7…0526
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting 2026-07-16 1.0%
$148 $13K
A 0x95cfdb…24d5
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers bok.or.kr link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-korea-decision-in-july/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-korea-decision-in-july.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-korea-decision-in-july")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0D5B3J7L2",
  "slug": "bank-of-korea-decision-in-july",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Korea make a decision in July?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "central-banking",
    "south-korea",
    "interest-rates",
    "monetary-policy"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 25069,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "bok.or.kr",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →