CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Bank of Mexico make a decision in June? [ resolves — ]

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
No change 94.1%
$13K
A 0x7fc2ef…cdce
A decrease 10.0%
$1.7K
A 0x2f1db7…b403
An increase 1.7%
$2.6K
A 0xb6233a…2615
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
sources (3) · single authority
  • banxico.org.mx venue-listed
  • Bank of Mexico source of record from rules text · editorial
  • https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-june/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-june
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-mexico-decision-in-june")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W2PF26XCH5",
  "slug": "bank-of-mexico-decision-in-june",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Mexico make a decision in June?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economic-policy",
    "economy",
    "central-banking",
    "interest-rates",
    "mexico"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 17223,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 93,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Bank of Mexico",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "banxico.org.mx",
      "url": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bank of Mexico",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →