Will the Bank of Russia make a decision in June? [ resolved 2026-06-19 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 sources (3) · single authority
- cbr.ru venue-listed
- Bank of Russia source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 100% |
| NO | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 0% |
| NO | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting? | polymarket | 2026-06-19 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (3 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-russia-decision-in-june/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-russia-decision-in-june |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-russia-decision-in-june") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DHYWQL1W78",
"slug": "bank-of-russia-decision-in-june",
"question": "Will the Bank of Russia make a decision in June?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"economic-policy",
"central-banking",
"russia",
"interest-rates"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 87054,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bank of Russia",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "cbr.ru",
"url": "https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bank of Russia",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}