CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Bank of Russia make a decision in September? [ resolves 2026-09-11 (50D) ]

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Make no change to 2026-09-11 52.0%
$131 $11K
A 0x1883b6…fa2a
Decrease 2026-09-11 33.0%
$13 $7.3K
A 0x918fb0…cc85
Increase 2026-09-11 24.3%
$23 $7.9K
A 0x73f366…f487
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers not provided link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
sources (2) · single authority
  • cbr.ru venue-listed
  • Bank of Russia source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-STB1T1L0L2",
  "slug": "bank-of-russia-decision-in-september-20260623013858993",
  "question": "Will the Bank of Russia make a decision in September?",
  "category": "economics",
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "finance",
    "central-banking",
    "interest-rates",
    "russia"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 25791,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 93,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Bank of Russia",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "cbr.ru",
      "url": "https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Bank of Russia",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →