Will Betmoar's FDV be above $20M–$400M one day after launch? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (577D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $20,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 61.0% | — | $12K | C | 0xbc8cb6…6b97 | ||
| ≥ $50,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 28.0% | — | $2.9K | C | 0x7f03bb…ad21 | ||
| ≥ $100,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 22.0% | — | $7.0K | C | 0xaa393f…a811 | ||
| ≥ $200,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 7.3% | — | $285 | C | 0xfbd05a…e12c | ||
| ≥ $400,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 49.0% | — | $640 | C | 0x05041c…62b9 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | x.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
polymarket.description → https://x.com/betmoardotfun No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LG9QKJHH84",
"slug": "betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
"question": "Will Betmoar's FDV be above ___ one day after launch?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-launch",
"fdv-valuation",
"betmoar",
"2028"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 22701,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 50,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": "x.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/betmoardotfun",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}