Bitcoin price, June 4, 2026 [ resolves 2026-06-04 (1D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $62,000 | 2026-06-04 | 95.5% | $48K | $51K | A | 0xc7f2cf…19f3 | ||
| ≥ $64,000 | 2026-06-04 | 84.9% | $44K | $46K | A | 0x87ed5b…6776 | ||
| ≥ $66,000 | 2026-06-04 | 57.8% | $44K | $67K | A | 0xd5fe77…3b68 | ||
| ≥ $68,000 | 2026-06-04 | 25.2% | $42K | $61K | A | 0xfd7ac6…b990 | ||
| ≥ $70,000 | 2026-06-04 | 6.0% | $35K | $72K | A | 0xbdfef5…b888 | ||
| ≥ $72,000 | 2026-06-04 | 1.4% | $29K | $71K | A | 0x05f77d…8310 | ||
| ≥ $74,000 | 2026-06-04 | 0.5% | $8.9K | $40K | A | 0x7f5898…af58 | ||
| ≥ $76,000 | 2026-06-04 | 0.1% | $61K | $75K | A | 0xea811e…4d9f | ||
| ≥ $78,000 | 2026-06-04 | 0.4% | $115K | $132K | A | 0x19078c…472d | ||
| ≥ $80,000 | 2026-06-04 | 0.2% | $13K | $130K | A | 0x7554b1…fbd2 | ||
| ≥ $82,000 | 2026-06-04 | 0.3% | $16K | $24K | A | 0xefd24f…815a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bitcoin-above-on-june-4-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bitcoin-above-on-june-4-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bitcoin-above-on-june-4-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JGQC5C7NM5",
"slug": "bitcoin-above-on-june-4-2026",
"question": "Bitcoin price, June 4, 2026",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin",
"crypto-prices",
"price-point",
"june-2026",
"short-term-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 769025,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}