Bitcoin price, June 6, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-06 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $64,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $16K | $26K | A | 0x894b97…03f1 | ||
| ≥ $66,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $8.0K | $21K | A | 0xe508ea…06f1 | ||
| ≥ $68,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $13K | $47K | A | 0xf3cffa…1447 | ||
| ≥ $70,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $4.2K | $39K | A | 0xd9bba7…b42b | ||
| ≥ $72,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $4.3K | $7.3K | A | 0xb4b7b3…b747 | ||
| ≥ $74,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $3.9K | $8.1K | A | 0xa8377a…4695 | ||
| ≥ $76,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $1.2K | $4.0K | A | 0x32afaa…856c | ||
| ≥ $78,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $3.5K | $9.2K | A | 0xd4c662…508d | ||
| ≥ $80,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $3.7K | $5.6K | A | 0x6f1e73…1ed5 | ||
| ≥ $82,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $29K | $29K | A | 0xb232d5…5d82 | ||
| ≥ $84,000 | 2026-06-06 | 0.0% | $1.4K | $18K | A | 0x9eaaea…1327 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 6? | polymarket | 2026-06-06 | 0% |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (11 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Bitcoin above $68K on June 6 priced a long shot Polymarket 31%
- Polymarket prices 77% on Bitcoin closing above $64,000 on June 6, per the LADDER distribution.
- The ETF outflow news and sub-$62k intraday lows reported June 3-4 are in tension with a 77% probability of recovery to above $64k within days.
- A companion LADDER for June 7 shows an almost identical 78% above $64k, suggesting the market sees the dip as likely transient.
- Resolves via Polymarket's uma_oracle using Bitcoin price data on the specified date.
- Bitcoin above $64K on June 6 wavers at coin-flip territory Polymarket ladder
- Kalshi's June 6 Bitcoin ladder implies a 51% chance BTC closes above $64,000, with only 31% above $66,000.
- The spot selloff to below $63,000 is consistent with the Kalshi distribution, which assigns near-even odds to a $64,000 recovery by Saturday.
- A companion Kalshi ladder for June 7 (CM-EVT-KDMRKTYKR2) shows 78% above $64,000 and 48% above $66,000, suggesting the market expects some stabilization over the weekend.
- Resolves via the named resolution source; the settlement price is the official Bitcoin rate on June 6, 2026.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bitcoin-above-on-june-6-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bitcoin-above-on-june-6-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bitcoin-above-on-june-6-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-JCHVD3PD84",
"slug": "bitcoin-above-on-june-6-2026",
"question": "Bitcoin price, June 6, 2026",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"2026",
"spot-price"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 215097,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}