Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5? [ resolves 2026-08-05 (1D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between $64,000 and $66,000 | 2026-08-05 | 54.0% | $1.2K | $2.4K | A | 0x69ae4a…367e | ||
| Between $62,000 and $64,000 | 2026-08-05 | 42.0% | $2.3K | $6.4K | A | 0xad8db4…57c4 | ||
| Between $66,000 and $68,000 | 2026-08-05 | 3.2% | $3.1K | $3.5K | A | 0x542357…e171 | ||
| Between $60,000 and $62,000 | 2026-08-05 | 1.7% | $8.5K | $13K | A | 0x7af195…c841 | ||
| Between $54,000 and $56,000 | 2026-08-05 | 1.0% | $1.0K | $3.5K | A | 0x1aced1…2c98 | ||
| Between $58,000 and $60,000 | 2026-08-05 | 1.0% | $1.7K | $6.1K | A | 0xf1ff1f…aa50 | ||
| ≤ $54,000 | 2026-08-05 | 0.6% | — | $1.9K | A | 0x285e6a…9b70 | ||
| Between $56,000 and $58,000 | 2026-08-05 | 0.1% | $571 | $3.2K | A | 0x9ed139…0c89 | ||
| Between $68,000 and $70,000 | 2026-08-05 | 0.1% | $353 | $477 | A | 0x728446…2273 | ||
| Between $70,000 and $72,000 | 2026-08-05 | 0.1% | $64 | $1.6K | A | 0x136ede…85d0 | ||
| ≥ $72,000 | 2026-08-05 | 0.1% | — | $609 | A | 0x626489…dca1 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT sources (3) · single authority
- binance.com venue-listed
- Binance source of record from rules text · editorial
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bitcoin-price-on-august-5-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bitcoin-price-on-august-5-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bitcoin-price-on-august-5-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0T3Z8XQV24",
"slug": "bitcoin-price-on-august-5-2026",
"question": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 5?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"bitcoin",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"spot-price",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 42682,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 91,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Binance",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "binance.com",
"url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Binance",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}