Will Bulgaria hold a presidential election by 2026? [ resolves 2026-11-30 (147D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 40 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iliana Iotova | 2026-11-30 | 53.0% | $153 | $63K | B | 0x5512bf…f485 | ||
| Vassil Terziev | 2026-11-30 | 7.7% | — | $4.3K | B | 0x0e675a…e5c2 | ||
| Boyko Borissov | 2026-11-30 | 4.0% | — | $3.7K | B | 0x6861ed…bfbe | ||
| Rosen Zhelyazkov | 2026-11-30 | 3.1% | — | $24K | B | 0xbda477…5a2d | ||
| Nikolai Denkov | 2026-11-30 | 3.0% | $43 | $19K | B | 0xd70997…15dd | ||
| Blagomir Kotsev | 2026-11-30 | 2.6% | — | $7.0K | B | 0x01b973…e1a4 | ||
| Yanaki Stoilov | 2026-11-30 | 0.8% | $19 | $3.9K | B | 0x74be00…1f79 | ||
| Natalia Kiselova | 2026-11-30 | 0.4% | $30 | $3.5K | B | 0x7b08f4…22b5 | ||
| Kostadin Kostadinov | 2026-11-30 | 0.3% | — | $3.4K | B | 0xa9e24f…c390 | ||
| Atanas Atanasov | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $1.8K | B | 0xe20cc3…05f0 | ||
| Delyan Peevski | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $1.8K | B | 0x85f86b…f002 | ||
| Rosen Plevneliev | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $2.0K | B | 0xfa2b0a…b1cd | ||
| Krum Zarkov | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $2.3K | B | 0x5e202b…bd89 | ||
| Аndrey Gyurov | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xd0590f…b407 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb4128e…1c69 | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x4b558c…d94a | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb2cb6c…5f85 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0df806…c2ca | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xa3237b…0146 | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb28300…a166 | ||
| Candidate O | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x16a748…03fb | ||
| Candidate Q | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x32f1af…d2b1 | ||
| Candidate S | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x21e225…15bc | ||
| Candidate U | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xdbac18…e610 | ||
| Candidate W | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x88785a…55dd | ||
| Candidate Y | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x53385f…b2b8 | ||
| Someone else | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xd2dee8…34a2 | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xeb3176…e477 | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x8fd935…778f | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5eb9ec…80cb | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x4f5148…7585 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x542b81…3b62 | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfabf0b…89f4 | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x78fa49…ee46 | ||
| Candidate P | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x1e5697…5edd | ||
| Candidate R | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5d1a27…81e9 | ||
| Candidate T | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xdccf82…1d33 | ||
| Candidate V | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x462e6b…4dfb | ||
| Candidate X | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfa980d…5bed | ||
| Candidate Z | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3257f4…88c7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · stated precedence rule
- Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) source of record from rules text · editorial
- www.cik.bg/ from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| closed | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate C win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate E win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate G win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate I win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate K win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate M win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate O win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Q win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate S win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate U win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate W win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Y win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will someone else win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate B win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate D win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate F win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate H win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate J win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate L win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate N win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate P win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate R win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate T win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate V win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate X win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Z win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | polymarket | 2026-11-30 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (27 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bulgaria-presidential-election/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bulgaria-presidential-election |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bulgaria-presidential-election") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
"slug": "bulgaria-presidential-election",
"question": "Will Bulgaria hold a presidential election by 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"bulgaria",
"presidential-election",
"2026",
"eastern-europe"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 40,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 139977,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 65,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "www.cik.bg/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}