Will Bulgaria hold a presidential election by December 31, 2024? [ resolves 2026-11-30 (180D) ]
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 40 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 35.0% | $1.3K | $58K | C | 0x5512bf…f485 | ||
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 10.0% | $5 | $15K | C | 0xd70997…15dd | ||
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 7.7% | $5 | $4.3K | C | 0x0e675a…e5c2 | ||
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 7.0% | $75 | $22K | C | 0xbda477…5a2d | ||
| Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 4.0% | — | $3.7K | C | 0x6861ed…bfbe | ||
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 2.6% | — | $6.9K | C | 0x01b973…e1a4 | ||
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 1.2% | $19 | $2.9K | C | 0x7b08f4…22b5 | ||
| Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.8% | $19 | $3.9K | C | 0x74be00…1f79 | ||
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $2.4K | C | 0xa9e24f…c390 | ||
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | $5 | $1.8K | C | 0xe20cc3…05f0 | ||
| Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $1.8K | C | 0x85f86b…f002 | ||
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | — | $1.9K | C | 0xfa2b0a…b1cd | ||
| Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.2% | $3 | $2.3K | C | 0x5e202b…bd89 | ||
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd0590f…b407 | ||
| Will Candidate C win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb4128e…1c69 | ||
| Will Candidate E win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4b558c…d94a | ||
| Will Candidate G win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb2cb6c…5f85 | ||
| Will Candidate I win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0df806…c2ca | ||
| Will Candidate K win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa3237b…0146 | ||
| Will Candidate M win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb28300…a166 | ||
| Will Candidate O win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x16a748…03fb | ||
| Will Candidate Q win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x32f1af…d2b1 | ||
| Will Candidate S win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x21e225…15bc | ||
| Will Candidate U win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdbac18…e610 | ||
| Will Candidate W win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x88785a…55dd | ||
| Will Candidate Y win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53385f…b2b8 | ||
| Will someone else win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd2dee8…34a2 | ||
| Will Candidate B win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeb3176…e477 | ||
| Will Candidate D win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8fd935…778f | ||
| Will Candidate F win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5eb9ec…80cb | ||
| Will Candidate H win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f5148…7585 | ||
| Will Candidate J win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x542b81…3b62 | ||
| Will Candidate L win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfabf0b…89f4 | ||
| Will Candidate N win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x78fa49…ee46 | ||
| Will Candidate P win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1e5697…5edd | ||
| Will Candidate R win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5d1a27…81e9 | ||
| Will Candidate T win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdccf82…1d33 | ||
| Will Candidate V win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x462e6b…4dfb | ||
| Will Candidate X win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfa980d…5bed | ||
| Will Candidate Z win the next Bulgarian presidential election | 2026-11-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3257f4…88c7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/bulgaria-presidential-election/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/bulgaria-presidential-election.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("bulgaria-presidential-election") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-C541X65QT7",
"slug": "bulgaria-presidential-election",
"question": "Will Bulgaria hold a presidential election by December 31, 2024?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"bulgaria",
"presidential-election",
"2026",
"eastern-europe"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 40,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 127602,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}