Will Crude Oil (CL) hit a new price level by the end of June? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of June?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 36 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (HIGH) $56 | 2025-12-30 | 100.0% | — | $875 | A | 0xf8199f…1652 | ||
| (HIGH) $60 | 2026-01-14 | 99.0% | — | $4.5K | A | 0xcd8c52…c954 | ||
| (HIGH) $65 | 2026-01-30 | 99.9% | — | $50K | A | 0x5d10ee…de3b | ||
| (HIGH) $70 | 2026-03-03 | 99.5% | — | $42K | A | 0xecaae5…3867 | ||
| (HIGH) $75 | 2026-03-06 | 99.9% | — | — | A | 0x91327b…c6b6 | ||
| (HIGH) $80 | 2026-03-06 | 99.9% | — | — | A | 0x24211d…4c5c | ||
| (HIGH) $90 | 2026-03-07 | 99.9% | — | — | A | 0xf923bf…8c26 | ||
| (LOW) $90 | 2026-03-24 | 99.9% | — | — | A | 0xb55db8…1681 | ||
| (HIGH) $100 | 2026-03-31 | 99.9% | — | $3.17M | A | 0xdda7d5…f292 | ||
| (HIGH) $105 | 2026-04-03 | 99.9% | — | $178K | A | 0xcd368b…a37d | ||
| (HIGH) $110 | 2026-04-03 | 99.9% | — | $513K | A | 0xcb139a…f8a7 | ||
| (LOW) $85 | 2026-04-18 | 99.9% | — | $226K | A | 0x461b59…1280 | ||
| (LOW) $90 | 2026-05-28 | 99.9% | — | $403K | A | 0xb3a0c1…76c2 | ||
| (LOW) $70 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $69K | $859K | A | 0xe3f827…17f1 | ||
| (LOW) $80 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $44K | $787K | A | 0xbaf252…d2b5 | ||
| (LOW) $85 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $61K | $444K | A | 0xa4c71c…17e3 | ||
| (LOW) $75 | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $8.7K | $9.4K | A | 0x1b2a9f…4d56 | ||
| (LOW) $55 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $10K | $312K | A | 0x9118be…f178 | ||
| (LOW) $52 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $21K | $191K | A | 0x98728d…5b22 | ||
| (LOW) $40 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $2.7K | $110K | A | 0xb941af…55cc | ||
| (LOW) $50 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $333 | $148K | A | 0x74ef80…0e81 | ||
| (LOW) $47 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $46 | $27K | A | 0xd19762…660d | ||
| (LOW) $45 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $4 | $46K | A | 0x1800e2…8b65 | ||
| (LOW) $35 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $917 | $65K | A | 0x524b6f…5b97 | ||
| (HIGH) $150 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $32K | $3.24M | A | 0xeda0e0…758e | ||
| (HIGH) $200 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $132K | $4.78M | A | 0x5f879a…3281 | ||
| (HIGH) $130 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $37K | $1.06M | A | 0xa5d0df…9e8b | ||
| (HIGH) $115 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $16K | $1.05M | A | 0x46f19d…acdd | ||
| (HIGH) $140 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $45K | $2.58M | A | 0x0443a5…dfcb | ||
| (LOW) $60 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $15K | $604K | A | 0x404f8c…501c | ||
| (HIGH) $120 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $41K | $1.34M | A | 0xba8af6…2421 | ||
| (HIGH) $175 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $44K | $2.93M | A | 0x7ae064…f451 | ||
| (HIGH) $110 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $39K | $523K | A | 0x82033f…2940 | ||
| (HIGH) $105 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $60K | $583K | A | 0x86c445…9bd9 | ||
| (HIGH) $95 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $2.5K | $2.7K | A | 0xb248b9…f9ab | ||
| (HIGH) $100 | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $2.4K | $2.5K | A | 0x4e1c00…5e2d |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
platform source field
polymarket.resolution_source → "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html" sources (3) · single authority
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html venue-listed
- CME Group website from rules text · editorial
- CME Group source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-05-28 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-04-18 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-04-03 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-04-03 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-03-31 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-03-24 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-03-07 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-03-06 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-03-06 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-03-03 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-01-30 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of June? | polymarket | 2026-01-14 | — |
| closed | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $56 by end of June? | polymarket | 2025-12-30 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (36 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Crude Oil $35 June low dismissed as an extreme tail scenario 0% · $32K 24h
- Zero probability priced, market sees no credible path to crude printing $35 by June 30.
- $32K in 24h is 26% of all-time volume, reflecting end-of-month position cleanup.
- Current WTI spot is well above $35; reaching that level would require a historic demand shock.
- Contract resolves at June month-end, volume is mechanical, not a fresh bearish crude call.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/cl-hit-jun-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/cl-hit-jun-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("cl-hit-jun-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-648V1NDKW1",
"slug": "cl-hit-jun-2026",
"question": "Will Crude Oil (CL) hit a new price level by the end of June?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"commodities",
"crude-oil",
"price-prediction",
"energy-markets",
"q2-2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 36,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 26275172,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html",
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "CME Group",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "CME Group website",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "CME Group",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}