Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $50 | 2026-06-30 | 98.8% | $532 | $8.6K | B | 0x805349…37ad | ||
| ≥ $52 | 2026-06-30 | 97.3% | — | $6.3K | B | 0x3d61c9…06dc | ||
| ≥ $55 | 2026-06-30 | 96.9% | — | $2.9K | B | 0x43fe6f…0ecc | ||
| ≥ $56 | 2026-06-30 | 96.0% | — | $4.9K | B | 0x004923…3c75 | ||
| ≥ $60 | 2026-06-30 | 98.6% | $2.4K | $23K | B | 0x30cbc7…565b | ||
| ≥ $63 | 2026-06-30 | 93.0% | — | $9.0K | B | 0x3e0989…ec3f | ||
| ≥ $65 | 2026-06-30 | 81.4% | — | $872 | B | 0x19809b…b487 | ||
| ≥ $70 | 2026-06-30 | 90.4% | $278 | $20K | B | 0x61992d…30ca | ||
| ≥ $75 | 2026-06-30 | 82.0% | — | $17K | B | 0x40f8bd…a706 | ||
| ≥ $80 | 2026-06-30 | 74.0% | $22 | $6.0K | B | 0x56c1e2…4e32 | ||
| ≥ $85 | 2026-06-30 | 50.0% | $668 | $6.5K | B | 0xae1cda…ab57 | ||
| ≥ $90 | 2026-06-30 | 49.0% | $10 | $26K | B | 0x2c50e5…8140 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/cl-over-under-jun-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/cl-over-under-jun-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("cl-over-under-jun-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9VLFSS6C56",
"slug": "cl-over-under-jun-2026",
"question": "Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"commodities",
"crude-oil",
"energy-markets",
"price-settlement",
"financial-derivatives"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 131343,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}