Will a Republican win the Colorado Governor primary? [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 42 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Marx | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $46 | $9.4K | A | 0x0b94b4…a879 | ||
| Scott Bottoms | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $4.6K | A | 0x5b4754…3b0d | ||
| Joshua Griffin | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $3.3K | A | 0xdf0ac4…a907 | ||
| Greg Lopez | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $3.8K | A | 0x552337…73c0 | ||
| Will McBride | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $23 | $29K | A | 0x15d5e5…4d5e | ||
| Stevan Gess | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $26 | $4.1K | A | 0x6eccdf…1d53 | ||
| Brycen Garrison | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $27 | $2.9K | A | 0x3e39bc…cffd | ||
| Daniel Thomas | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $2.8K | A | 0x1ac9ae…ccde | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x5dea4b…ed85 | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8f7db6…3420 | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x76a636…7be1 | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb37278…cf46 | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x179df4…ea29 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb38b77…7829 | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x26fbb8…df42 | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x1998c9…6fe6 | ||
| Candidate P | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xdf0764…37e3 | ||
| Candidate R | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xd90484…db46 | ||
| Candidate T | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x6aeec5…8016 | ||
| Candidate V | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x897892…1a05 | ||
| Candidate X | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x0d6434…146a | ||
| Candidate Z | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x59e693…2602 | ||
| Mark Baisley | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $8.3K | A | 0x8edc9d…727a | ||
| Jason Clark | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $3.1K | A | 0x9dc51b…b629 | ||
| Barbara Kirkmeyer | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $30 | $22K | A | 0xd9e07d…87b6 | ||
| Jason Mikesell | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $3.2K | A | 0x4856bf…888a | ||
| Jon Gray-Ginsberg | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $7.0K | A | 0xf2ae13…79c5 | ||
| Bob Brinkerhoff | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $37 | $3.0K | A | 0x1632f4…568e | ||
| Robert Moore | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $22 | $4.2K | A | 0x28c8e6…3c2e | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x3dcd49…baa3 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x3d7733…c6ce | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x695f3b…0041 | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x170780…1f28 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7c1cf6…930c | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x4b9c47…3ae4 | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xe901f0…5aa8 | ||
| Candidate O | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xbbed73…ecaa | ||
| Candidate Q | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x07c9ff…f141 | ||
| Candidate S | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xcbf86c…eccf | ||
| Candidate U | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xd823c6…7eef | ||
| Candidate W | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xbba9e6…76e5 | ||
| Candidate Y | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xcad18a…59e9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
- Colorado Republican Party source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| closed | Will another candidate win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate B win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate D win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate F win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate H win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate J win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate L win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate N win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate P win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate R win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate T win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate V win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate X win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Z win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| NO | Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jason Clark win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| YES | Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 100% |
| NO | Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bob Brinkerhoff win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| NO | Will Robert Moore win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | 0% |
| closed | Will Candidate A win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate C win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate E win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate G win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate I win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate K win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate M win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate O win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Q win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate S win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate U win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate W win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
| closed | Will Candidate Y win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-30 | — |
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (42 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- Flows defend Victor Marx as Colorado GOP primary locks in 93% · $41K 24h
- Polymarket prices 93%, market assigns near-certain Marx victory in the Republican gubernatorial primary.
- $41K in 24h equals 51% of all-time volume; majority of lifetime liquidity concentrated at resolution.
- Primary result imminent; heavy one-sided flow at 93% implies result is effectively known or broadly anticipated.
- Resolution follows official primary canvass; contract closes at 100% on confirmed Marx win.
- Victor Marx Colorado GOP primary locked in at 96% on fresh inflows 96% · $29K 24h
- Polymarket prices Victor Marx winning the 2026 Colorado Republican gubernatorial primary at 96%.
- $29K in 24h is 45% of all-time volume, meaningful mid-cycle accumulation, not end-of-contract noise.
- Absence of credible challenger activity and Marx's primary organization appear to have resolved the race early.
- Primary election date drives final resolution; 4% tail reflects ballot or candidate-status risk only.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QQXJ0J98N1",
"slug": "colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner",
"question": "Will a Republican win the Colorado Governor primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"colorado",
"2026",
"republican-primary",
"gubernatorial"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 42,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 110746,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Colorado Republican Party",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Colorado Republican Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}