Will a Republican win the Colorado Governor primary? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 42 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 78.0% | $367 | $8.6K | C | 0x0b94b4…a879 | ||
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary… | 2026-06-30 | 19.0% | $205 | $21K | C | 0xd9e07d…87b6 | ||
| Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 3.7% | $182 | $4.2K | C | 0x5b4754…3b0d | ||
| Will Jason Clark win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.4% | $180 | $3.0K | C | 0x9dc51b…b629 | ||
| Will Brycen Garrison win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.3% | $140 | $2.9K | C | 0x3e39bc…cffd | ||
| Will Greg Lopez win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.2% | $140 | $3.8K | C | 0x552337…73c0 | ||
| Will Mark Baisley win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.2% | $183 | $8.2K | C | 0x8edc9d…727a | ||
| Will Jason Mikesell win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.2% | $140 | $3.2K | C | 0x4856bf…888a | ||
| Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary… | 2026-06-30 | 0.2% | $644 | $7.0K | C | 0xf2ae13…79c5 | ||
| Will Bob Brinkerhoff win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.2% | $140 | $3.0K | C | 0x1632f4…568e | ||
| Will Robert Moore win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.2% | $183 | $4.1K | C | 0x28c8e6…3c2e | ||
| Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $140 | $3.1K | C | 0xdf0ac4…a907 | ||
| Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $146 | $29K | C | 0x15d5e5…4d5e | ||
| Will Stevan Gess win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $140 | $4.1K | C | 0x6eccdf…1d53 | ||
| Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.1% | $140 | $2.8K | C | 0x1ac9ae…ccde | ||
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary… | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5dea4b…ed85 | ||
| Will Candidate B win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8f7db6…3420 | ||
| Will Candidate D win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x76a636…7be1 | ||
| Will Candidate F win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb37278…cf46 | ||
| Will Candidate H win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x179df4…ea29 | ||
| Will Candidate J win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb38b77…7829 | ||
| Will Candidate L win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x26fbb8…df42 | ||
| Will Candidate N win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1998c9…6fe6 | ||
| Will Candidate P win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdf0764…37e3 | ||
| Will Candidate R win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd90484…db46 | ||
| Will Candidate T win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6aeec5…8016 | ||
| Will Candidate V win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x897892…1a05 | ||
| Will Candidate X win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0d6434…146a | ||
| Will Candidate Z win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x59e693…2602 | ||
| Will Candidate A win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3dcd49…baa3 | ||
| Will Candidate C win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3d7733…c6ce | ||
| Will Candidate E win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x695f3b…0041 | ||
| Will Candidate G win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x170780…1f28 | ||
| Will Candidate I win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7c1cf6…930c | ||
| Will Candidate K win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4b9c47…3ae4 | ||
| Will Candidate M win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe901f0…5aa8 | ||
| Will Candidate O win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbbed73…ecaa | ||
| Will Candidate Q win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x07c9ff…f141 | ||
| Will Candidate S win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcbf86c…eccf | ||
| Will Candidate U win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd823c6…7eef | ||
| Will Candidate W win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbba9e6…76e5 | ||
| Will Candidate Y win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcad18a…59e9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QQXJ0J98N1",
"slug": "colorado-governor-republican-primary-winner",
"question": "Will a Republican win the Colorado Governor primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"colorado",
"2026",
"republican-primary",
"gubernatorial"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 42,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 108684,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}