Will the Ngatangiia electorate winner be determined in the Cook Islands parliamentary election? [ resolves 2026-08-12 (8D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 31 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukaka George Tamarua Ama | 2026-08-12 | 84.0% | $3 | $20K | B | 0xbfe09a…cc65 | ||
| Mapi Ioteva | 2026-08-12 | 7.3% | — | $356 | B | 0x8097fe…d98e | ||
| Itinga Maoate | 2026-08-12 | 4.3% | — | $146 | B | 0x8271f6…3219 | ||
| Christopher Robert Denny | 2026-08-12 | 3.1% | — | $170 | B | 0x24196c…481c | ||
| Person A | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x67fcc1…2c90 | ||
| Person B | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5c37df…9c7c | ||
| Person C | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x34205d…12e7 | ||
| Person D | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x1529e8…be39 | ||
| Person E | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x383e2f…8472 | ||
| Person F | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xb65410…2c2d | ||
| Person G | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf70b9d…a4b1 | ||
| Person H | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x899b61…94d7 | ||
| Person I | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x1d3ca9…1c35 | ||
| Person J | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x3d5129…8fad | ||
| Person K | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x420e49…d501 | ||
| Person L | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6063f9…752b | ||
| Person M | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfc0d99…9ac1 | ||
| Person N | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfb7b38…74ea | ||
| Person O | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x863044…656f | ||
| Person P | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xdaff15…efb0 | ||
| Person Q | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x50da75…64d8 | ||
| Person R | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xca4416…a722 | ||
| Person S | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xf64d98…6e3d | ||
| Person T | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x9ade21…4d38 | ||
| Person U | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x98d7be…cf2e | ||
| Person V | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x849085…de63 | ||
| Person W | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x9ad51e…d092 | ||
| Person X | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x2b8e34…d7e1 | ||
| Person Y | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xe08383…7692 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x4865d5…acfc | ||
| Another person | 2026-08-12 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x904079…1af9 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
If the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
- Cook Islands government source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/cook-islands-parliamentary-election-ngatangiia-winner-20260715192220118/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/cook-islands-parliamentary-election-ngatangiia-winner-20260715192220118 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("cook-islands-parliamentary-election-ngatangiia-winner-20260715192220118") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
"slug": "cook-islands-parliamentary-election-ngatangiia-winner-20260715192220118",
"question": "Will the Ngatangiia electorate winner be determined in the Cook Islands parliamentary election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"cook-islands",
"2026",
"constituency",
"parliamentary"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 31,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 20390,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Cook Islands government",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}