CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,450 EVENTS / ~20,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the Delaware Republican Senate Primary be won by a candidate who has not yet been publicly named or confirmed as of the question creation date? [ resolves 2026-09-15 (71D) ]

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 17 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Michael Katz 2026-09-15 88.0%
$1.9K
C 0x7b43b5…4e27
John Shulli 2026-09-15 29.0%
$31K
C 0x294cb4…08bf
Person B 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xfa81eb…eb06
Person D 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x244f7f…e862
Person F 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x0d1914…189e
Person H 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xb3ee06…fd21
Person J 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x6b76b2…64f6
Person L 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x647992…4a77
Person N 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x2b94a1…90e6
Another person 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xfdb493…0147
Person C 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x03d430…7c1b
Person E 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x34f19e…f4ee
Person G 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0x3fba5d…0621
Person I 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xa438fb…924d
Person K 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xed7a58…707d
Person M 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xa3b32e…3add
Person O 2026-09-15 0.0%
C 0xfdb4f4…d368
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 17 markets · share this text
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Delaware. If no 2026 Delaware Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (2)
  • the Delaware Republican party from rules text · editorial
  • an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
closed Will Person B be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person D be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person F be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person H be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person J be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person L be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person N be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will another person be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person C be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person E be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person G be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person I be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person K be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person M be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
closed Will Person O be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? polymarket 2026-09-15
Derived from the platform price + resolution-date snapshot (15 resolved markets). PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/delaware-republican-senate-primary-winner/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/delaware-republican-senate-primary-winner
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("delaware-republican-senate-primary-winner")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-06. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WQQ8BVRJT9",
  "slug": "delaware-republican-senate-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Delaware Republican Senate Primary be won by a candidate who has not yet been publicly named or confirmed as of the question creation date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026-election",
    "delaware-politics",
    "senate-primary",
    "republican-nomination"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 17,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 32857,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 55,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "the Delaware Republican party",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →