Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31? [ resolves 2026-07-31 (8D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between $0.70T and $0.80T | 2026-07-31 | 45.8% | $2.1K | $11K | C | 0x9989e9…aab8 | ||
| ≤ $0.7 | 2026-07-31 | 33.6% | $4.7K | $15K | C | 0xe33350…e54e | ||
| Between $0.80T and $0.90T | 2026-07-31 | 13.1% | $4.1K | $20K | C | 0xfbc4bc…6518 | ||
| Between $0.90T and $1.00T | 2026-07-31 | 3.4% | $1.4K | $9.5K | C | 0xcaccbc…260f | ||
| Between $1.00T and $1.10T | 2026-07-31 | 1.1% | $1.7K | $12K | C | 0xb0cfbd…ad0d | ||
| Between $1.10T and $1.20T | 2026-07-31 | 0.7% | $1.6K | $7.7K | C | 0xb8cd09…f4ba | ||
| ≥ $1.2 | 2026-07-31 | 0.1% | $887 | $8.7K | C | 0x8c1c09…97a7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true sources (2) · stated precedence rule
- bloomberg.com venue-listed
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile source of record from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/elon-musk-net-worth-on-july-31-20260629141452413/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/elon-musk-net-worth-on-july-31-20260629141452413 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("elon-musk-net-worth-on-july-31-20260629141452413") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
"slug": "elon-musk-net-worth-on-july-31-20260629141452413",
"question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"elon-musk",
"net-worth",
"tech-billionaire",
"wealth-valuation",
"2026",
"economics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 83523,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "bloomberg.com",
"url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}