Will Ethereum be above $1,500–$2,500 on June 5? [ resolves 2026-06-05 (2D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $1,500 | 2026-06-05 | 89.4% | $1.9K | $5.9K | A | 0x8ddeb0…b06b | ||
| ≥ $1,600 | 2026-06-05 | 98.5% | $2.4K | $2.4K | A | 0x3381dd…774d | ||
| ≥ $1,700 | 2026-06-05 | 93.0% | $21K | $21K | A | 0x63ea9c…0d53 | ||
| ≥ $1,800 | 2026-06-05 | 67.2% | $16K | $26K | A | 0xe472b6…30c2 | ||
| ≥ $1,900 | 2026-06-05 | 23.0% | $9.7K | $10K | A | 0x4ed6c9…13ce | ||
| ≥ $2,000 | 2026-06-05 | 7.0% | $2.3K | $4.4K | A | 0xdc76c1…ca92 | ||
| ≥ $2,100 | 2026-06-05 | 6.1% | $1.7K | $2.0K | A | 0xd31e23…082a | ||
| ≥ $2,200 | 2026-06-05 | 2.7% | $1.9K | $2.4K | A | 0xf2a4a4…148a | ||
| ≥ $2,300 | 2026-06-05 | 2.3% | $2.2K | $2.5K | A | 0x33a1cf…416d | ||
| ≥ $2,400 | 2026-06-05 | 0.2% | $8.8K | $9.2K | A | 0x13be35…839a | ||
| ≥ $2,500 | 2026-06-05 | 1.0% | $13K | $17K | A | 0x0542b2…857f |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ethereum-above-on-june-5-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ethereum-above-on-june-5-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ethereum-above-on-june-5-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-S9DCWV65L8",
"slug": "ethereum-above-on-june-5-2026",
"question": "Will Ethereum be above ___ on June 5?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"ethereum",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"2026",
"short-term-price"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 103252,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}