Will Ethereum be above $1,500–$2,500 on June 6? [ resolves 2026-06-06 (3D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $1,500 | 2026-06-06 | 99.7% | $3 | $22 | A | 0xf698f5…9c11 | ||
| ≥ $1,600 | 2026-06-06 | 97.8% | $1.6K | $1.9K | A | 0x7c9e5b…ce58 | ||
| ≥ $1,700 | 2026-06-06 | 85.7% | $6.6K | $11K | A | 0xa1c0c9…c0b9 | ||
| ≥ $1,800 | 2026-06-06 | 69.7% | $6.6K | $14K | A | 0x0d361b…f822 | ||
| ≥ $1,900 | 2026-06-06 | 24.0% | $1.1K | $1.5K | A | 0x34e245…3d11 | ||
| ≥ $2,000 | 2026-06-06 | 11.0% | $697 | $6.6K | A | 0xa2ca24…a6be | ||
| ≥ $2,100 | 2026-06-06 | 0.8% | $1.0K | $1.2K | A | 0xa1e8e6…6d53 | ||
| ≥ $2,200 | 2026-06-06 | 10.0% | — | $146 | A | 0x6aba6a…0e84 | ||
| ≥ $2,300 | 2026-06-06 | — | — | — | A | 0x4111da…cc45 | ||
| ≥ $2,400 | 2026-06-06 | — | $48 | $71 | A | 0x2ac535…6cdf | ||
| ≥ $2,500 | 2026-06-06 | — | $152 | $369 | A | 0x1029c7…8edd |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ethereum-above-on-june-6-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ethereum-above-on-june-6-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ethereum-above-on-june-6-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-F99XVNTLD0",
"slug": "ethereum-above-on-june-6-2026",
"question": "Will Ethereum be above ___ on June 6?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"ethereum",
"crypto-prices",
"price-point",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 36509,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}