CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? [ resolves 2026-04 – 2027-01 ]

Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 4 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026 2026-04-01 0.1%
$1.02M
A 0x5fb29d…7639
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026 2026-07-01 0.4%
$1.9K $377K
A 0x384a78…b0ee
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026 2026-10-01 4.2%
$3.1K $270K
A 0x710ce1…4d7f
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026 2027-01-01 9.0%
$600 $518K
A 0x4ac1e1…fe8f
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers binance.com link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 4 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ethereum-all-time-high-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ethereum-all-time-high-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("ethereum-all-time-high-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
  "slug": "ethereum-all-time-high-by",
  "question": "Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "ethereum",
    "price-milestone",
    "ath",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 4,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 2182496,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "binance.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →