Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24? [ resolved 2026-07-24 ]
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between $1,800 and $1,900 | 2026-07-24 | 100.0% | $752 | $1.1K | C | 0x0875d4…9ad4 | ||
| ≤ $1,400 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | — | $1.0K | C | 0xf245e6…0de3 | ||
| Between $1,400 and $1,500 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | — | $490 | C | 0xd03a5e…123d | ||
| Between $1,500 and $1,600 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $715 | $830 | C | 0x15eb8d…5ef5 | ||
| Between $1,600 and $1,700 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $409 | $464 | C | 0x3420fd…f57c | ||
| Between $1,700 and $1,800 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $5.7K | $5.7K | C | 0xf8ea35…2daa | ||
| Between $1,900 and $2,000 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $26 | $87 | C | 0x7454da…2308 | ||
| Between $2,000 and $2,100 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $1.7K | $1.7K | C | 0x8bed4d…498b | ||
| Between $2,100 and $2,200 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $664 | $689 | C | 0xcd659f…8429 | ||
| Between $2,200 and $2,300 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $265 | $380 | C | 0xedfaec…0384 | ||
| ≥ $2,300 | 2026-07-24 | 0.0% | $100 | $483 | C | 0xde246f…9e8a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT sources (3) · single authority
- binance.com source of record venue-listed
- Binance from rules text · editorial
- https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 100% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
| NO | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 24? | polymarket | 2026-07-24 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ethereum-price-on-july-24-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ethereum-price-on-july-24-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ethereum-price-on-july-24-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-46TDJ84RT3",
"slug": "ethereum-price-on-july-24-2026",
"question": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 24?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"ethereum",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"spot-price",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 12937,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "binance.com",
"url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Binance",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}