CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by a specific date? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2026-11 ]

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 2 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026 2026-06-30 13.0%
$12 $10K
A 0x0a2881…0f7d
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026 2026-11-02 43.0%
$2.1K
A 0x638d17…2bd9
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers congress.gov link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 2 markets · share this text
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/federal-gas-tax-suspended-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/federal-gas-tax-suspended-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("federal-gas-tax-suspended-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NQNY75FVY1",
  "slug": "federal-gas-tax-suspended-by",
  "question": "Will the federal gas tax be suspended by a specific date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "congress",
    "politics",
    "2026-election",
    "fiscal-policy",
    "energy-markets"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 2,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 12480,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "congress.gov",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →