Will the second place finisher in the Florida Governor Republican Primary be determined by August 18, 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-18 (26D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Collins | 2026-08-18 | 59.0% | $6.3K | $7.4K | C | 0x3e6273…2a3a | ||
| James Fishback | 2026-08-18 | 18.0% | $1.4K | $3.4K | C | 0xbbf84b…c3e6 | ||
| James Walker Shaw | 2026-08-18 | 2.0% | — | $49 | C | 0x6b4580…4b36 | ||
| Rachel Rodriguez | 2026-08-18 | 1.0% | — | $147 | C | 0x424594…f169 | ||
| Byron Donalds | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $42 | C | 0xe2cb2d…fc65 | ||
| Paul Renner | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $92 | C | 0xd418ce…34b7 | ||
| Jim Holcomb | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $65 | C | 0xa28a1e…0903 | ||
| Arthur Joseph McCaffrey | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $76 | C | 0x3fa7de…555c | ||
| Daniel Nokovich | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $26 | C | 0xe57551…e1dd | ||
| Caneste Succe | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $106 | C | 0x403eeb…a3da | ||
| Bobby Williams | 2026-08-18 | — | — | $95 | C | 0xa832ff…ecb7 | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa9ac83…dfb3 | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x619718…0bbf | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xafd665…4837 | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3f8d20…0223 | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf47eac…3648 | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x127d78…5fb2 | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4a9ddd…53c6 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official results of the election from rules text · editorial
- an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/florida-governor-republican-primary-second-place-20260710143927093/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/florida-governor-republican-primary-second-place-20260710143927093 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("florida-governor-republican-primary-second-place-20260710143927093") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-H30M02DRK1",
"slug": "florida-governor-republican-primary-second-place-20260710143927093",
"question": "Will the second place finisher in the Florida Governor Republican Primary be determined by August 18, 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"florida",
"republican-primary",
"2026",
"governor-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11469,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official results of the election",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}