Will the GA-13 Special Election be won by a Democrat? [ resolves 2026-07-29 (6D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton Blair | 2026-07-29 | 56.6% | $380 | $1.3K | A | 0x88b2f8…56bd | ||
| Marcye Scott | 2026-07-29 | 48.0% | $838 | $6.2K | A | 0x14910e…445f | ||
| Carlos Moore | 2026-07-29 | 1.0% | $220 | $5.8K | A | 0xe32a6b…cc7d | ||
| Caesar Gonzales | 2026-07-29 | 1.0% | $145 | $399 | A | 0x61b853…577c | ||
| Tony Brown | 2026-07-29 | 0.6% | $145 | $531 | A | 0x997061…4cf6 | ||
| Fayth Park | 2026-07-29 | 0.1% | $145 | $394 | A | 0x8915ff…4e18 | ||
| Person A | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x8a9fcc…8276 | ||
| Person B | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xa0d3ff…e533 | ||
| Person C | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb433b5…9a2d | ||
| Person D | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xb75987…4030 | ||
| Person E | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xad2725…8e3f | ||
| Person F | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x467297…e577 | ||
| Person G | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xc8cdac…8db6 | ||
| Person H | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xaee8d8…cb71 | ||
| Person I | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7956d3…c8cd | ||
| Person J | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x9dda0c…46d8 | ||
| Person K | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xe94471…1f65 | ||
| Person L | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x76b71b…a6fb | ||
| Person M | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0xcece67…4738 | ||
| Person N | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x7ff238…316c | ||
| Someone else | 2026-07-29 | 0.0% | — | — | A | 0x63ba79…dd30 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
A special election is currently scheduled for July 28, 2026 to fill the seat of Georgia’s 13th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives, with a potential runoff scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · single authority
- sos.ga.gov source of record venue-listed
- https://sos.ga.gov/ from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/ga-13-special-election-winner-20260604224652888/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/ga-13-special-election-winner-20260604224652888 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("ga-13-special-election-winner-20260604224652888") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y2675F6R01",
"slug": "ga-13-special-election-winner-20260604224652888",
"question": "Will the GA-13 Special Election be won by a Democrat?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"georgia",
"special-election",
"2026",
"us-house"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 14567,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://sos.ga.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "sos.ga.gov",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "sos.ga.gov",
"url": "https://sos.ga.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://sos.ga.gov/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}